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Cardano – Assessing the odds of ADA repeating its 2021 cycle to $3.10

ADA remains a high-risk, high-reward asset, keeping investors on edge.

Cardano - Assessing the odds of ADA repeating its 2021 cycle to $3.10
  • Cardano’s latest double-digit surge was just part of another hype-driven cycle, primed for quick manipulation
  • Prevailing market sentiment hinted at a more uncertain path ahead

Cardano [ADA] is making a comeback, soaring by 14% in just four days. Hype cycle or not, momentum is on its side – Pushing ADA into a prime FOMO zone.

With ADA still 75% below its all-time high at press time, is history about to repeat itself for a 2021-style rally?

Breaking down the odds

Like most cryptocurrencies, Cardano is trading well below its post-election highs, struggling to hold key psychological levels. Its rapid price swings have kept investors on edge, making it a high-risk, high-reward asset. Since pulling back from $1, ADA has hit three consecutive lower lows, reinforcing its downtrend. 

With over 70 million ADA tokens offloaded by whales in the last 96 hours, the chances of losing the critical $0.70–$0.65 support range are growing. 

ADA
Source: TradingView (ADA/USDT)

This sharp sell-off suggested that ADA’s recent double-digit surge may be just another hype-driven cycle, ripe for quick manipulation and profit-taking. A consolidation in this range could have paved the way for a bullish repeat of ADA’s 2021 rally, when it hit an all-time high of $3.10 – A staggering 630% year-to-date gain. 

However, with market sentiment turning increasingly uncertain, Cardano remains a volatile asset, making ADA’s next move highly uncertain.

What’s next for Cardano?

Given Cardano’s high volatility, it remains a risky bet – For now. While the ADA/BTC pair is showing some relief, it’s still far from reclaiming previous highs needed for a true rebound.

Meanwhile, a major liquidity pool with 10x long leverage at $11.60 faces a potential wipeout, as ADA teeters just 12% above the critical $0.69-mark.

cardano
Source: Coinglass

With the stakes this high, a repeat of the 2021 rally feels like a distant dream. For ADA to reclaim $1, holding its press time levels is crucial. 

Otherwise, with big sell-offs, extreme volatility, and long squeezes in play, the altcoin could be on the verge of seeking new support on the charts. 

Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Ritika Gupta

Journalist

Ritika Gupta is a coin-based journalist at AMBCrypto who focuses on how economic and political trends impact cryptocurrencies. A social sciences graduate from Gargi College, she reports on AI, DeFi, Web3, and blockchain, using her hands-on experience to turn complex crypto developments into clear, practical insights for readers.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.