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Active Currencies: 17,387
Market Cap: $2.357T
Bitcoin Dominance: 55.75%
24h Market Cap Change: $-2.46

ETH/BTC mirrors 2017-19 cycle: Is it time to shift from Bitcoin to Ethereum?

Deeply oversold Stoch RSI has preceded major ETH rallies against BTC - Is momentum shifting?

ETH/BTC
  • ETH/BTC pair is closely mirroring the 2017-2019 cycle, with the Stochastic RSI dipping below 20.
  • Is history about to repeat itself?

Historical trends indicate that Ethereum [ETH] could outpace Bitcoin [BTC] by mid-Q3, as the Stochastic RSI has remained below 20 for two years – a rare oversold condition.  

This setup closely resembles the 2017-2019 cycle, where ETH/BTC hit an all-time low before staging a significant recovery. Currently, the ETH/BTC pair mirrors that pattern, testing the same key support level.

ETH/BTC
Source: TradingView (ETH/BTC)

If history repeats, a momentum shift could be underway. After the 2017-2019 cycle, ETH closed 2020 with a staggering 487% YTD gain, outperforming BTC’s 302%.

Currently, a supply crunch is unfolding, indicating potential accumulation as ETH consolidates within the $2.7K-$2.8K range. The MACD is also showing early signs of a bullish crossover, hinting at a possible trend reversal.

With these technical signals aligning, could Ethereum be on the verge of a breakout against Bitcoin?

ETH/BTC — Where is investor sentiment shifting?

Ethereum has lost over $80 billion in market value this month, underperforming Bitcoin amid broader market uncertainty.

The ETH/BTC pair remains in a downtrend, with the RSI signaling a potential bottom. However, a 20% decline in trading volume indicates weak accumulation, making an immediate trend reversal unlikely.

Ethereum
Source: TradingView (ETH/USDT)

Despite this, early bullish signals are emerging. For ETH to regain bullish momentum, it must reclaim $3.5K as support before attempting a breakout toward its post-election peak of $4K.

Given historical trends and technical indicators, ETH’s current consolidation phase could be a setup for a potential rebound. 

Traders should closely watch volume inflows and bullish divergences in the ETH/BTC pair to validate the repeat of the 2017-19 cycle.

Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Ritika Gupta

Journalist

Ritika Gupta is a coin-based journalist at AMBCrypto who focuses on how economic and political trends impact cryptocurrencies. A social sciences graduate from Gargi College, she reports on AI, DeFi, Web3, and blockchain, using her hands-on experience to turn complex crypto developments into clear, practical insights for readers.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.