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Bitcoin Cash up 21% – Will BCH’s surge hold or fade at $400?

Bitcoin Cash's price action reveals clues about what makes $414-$425 a good risk-reward area for short entries.

Bitcoin Cash up 21% – Will BCH's surge hold or fade at $400?
  • Bitcoin Cash was on the verge of seeing a bullish structure shift.
  • Traders looking to go short could look for opportunities to enter above the $400 mark.

Bitcoin Cash [BCH] has rallied 21% for the day, and a daily session close above $351 would mark a bullish structure shift.

The price of BCH was $387 at press time, which meant there was a good chance the daily structure would shift bullishly.

Bitcoin Cash Correlations
Source: IntoTheBlock

The BTC hard fork had a +0.8 correlation with Dogecoin [DOGE] and Chainlink [LINK] and only +0.71 with Bitcoin [BTC].

The price action in recent hours was backed by strong demand, and accompanied by a BTC move higher. Could Bitcoin Cash reclaim the psychological $400 level?

Key resistance zone overhead

Bitcoin Cash Santiment
Source: Santiment

The social volume was roughly the same in the past three weeks and had picked up from the dip it saw in mid-February. Also, daily active addresses soared last week.

The fall to the local lows could have seen increased selling on-chain. Similarly, Sunday’s bounce was also accompanied by heightened activity on-chain.

Bitcoin Cash In/Out of the Money
Source: IntoTheBlock

The In/Out of the Money around price showed that the $408-$422 was a sizable resistance zone. Beyond that, the area just below the $450 round number would oppose the bullish advance.

To the south, the $329-$342 saw a large volume of purchases. Hence, it was reasonable that it would act as a firm support if retested.

Bitcoin Cash 1-day Chart
Source: BCH/USDT on TradingView

The price action chart showed a bullish outlook after the market structure shift (orange) that would occur if the 1-day trading session closes above $351.

The volume bars showed heightened trading activity alongside the move, another sign of bullish conviction.

The $400 level (white) marked the lower low made in January, making it easier to spot the bearish order block (red) at $425.

This was also the support zone from December and bordered by the 61.8% retracement level based on the drop from $500 to $275.

Traders can expect a rejection from this order block.

Even though the sub-structure was on the verge of seeing a bullish shift, the swing structure was bearish, making $414-$425 a good risk-reward area to look for short entries.

Meanwhile, a breakout beyond $452 would invalidate the bearish argument.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion

Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Akashnath S

Journalist

Akashnath S is a Senior Journalist and Technical Analysis expert at AMBCrypto. He specializes in dissecting price action, identifying key market trends through advanced chart patterns, and forecasting both short-term and long-term asset trajectories.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.