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Galaxy’s Novogratz sees Ethereum flipping $4K to support – Here’s why

Overall ETH selling pressure on exchanges has dropped to a 2-year low.

Ethereum

Key Takeaways 

Crypto leaders expect ETH to break above $4K, with some projecting a $5.7K target. Low selling pressure reinforces the bullish outlook.


Ethereum [ETH] price has rallied 150% from its April lows and could surge much higher by the end of the year, according to Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz. 

The executive downplayed claims that the recent ETH surge to $3.9K could mark its cycle top near $4K. Novogratz added

“$3k-4k is now the range for a while. But my instinct is that it will be $4k that goes by the end of the year. Not $3k.”

Lee foresees a 60% ETH upside

Tom Lee, a Wall Street strategist, FundStrat CEO, and Chair of ETH treasury firm BitMine Immersion Tech, also projected a similar bullish outlook.

Per Lee, ETH was in a better position and could rally 60%, citing the ETH/BTC ratio, an indicator that tracks the relative price of the altcoin to BTC. 

He projected that the ETH/BTC ratio could reclaim its last year’s level of 0.05 from 0.03, with an implied target of $5.7K if the projection is validated.  

“ETH is a better story today than it was a year ago. ETH/BTC ratio now: 0.03144, a year ago: 0.05000. Implies 60% near-term upside.”

Ethereum
Source: Tom Lee/X

Institutional appetite and treasury build-up deepen ETH demand

Institutional demand has also boosted this bullish outlook for the asset.

In July alone, spot ETH ETFs saw $5.3 billion in inflows, marking the highest monthly demand the products have ever seen since they debuted last year. 

Ethereum
Source: SoSo Value

Besides, the raging appetite from crypto treasury firms like BitMine, SharpLink Gaming, and The Ethereum Machine could further drive demand for ETH.

At press time, ETFs hold 5.84 million ETH, while crypto-native treasury reserves have ballooned to 2.73 million ETH, or 2.26% of supply.

In addition, there has been a relatively low sell-off in 2025 as ETH neared $4K compared to 2024.

Even the recent pullback from $3.9K to $3.5K didn’t record a spike in coins being sent to exchanges for sell-off. 

Low exchange outflows reinforce bullish case

Ethereum
Source: CryptoQuant

In fact, ETH’s Exchange Netflow recently dropped to a two-year low, per CryptoQuant, signaling a continued accumulation trend.

In other words, there was more accumulation than sell-off as ETH hit recent highs, underscoring a bullish cue.

But any unforeseen macro headwind could dent this positive outlook, hence it is worth tracking closely. 

Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Benjamin Njiri

Journalist

Benjamin Njiri is a Crypto Analyst and Reporter at AMBCrypto, specializing in technical analysis and emerging market trends. With a background in Telecoms engineering and power systems, he applies data analysis to filter market noise and decode on-chain data. His work delivers clear, data-driven insights that help readers navigate crypto markets with confidence.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.