Hedera reclaims key resistance, eyes trend reversal: Can HBAR hold above $0.10?
HBAR trades at a structural inflection above $0.10, as global logistics leader FedEx joins the Hedera council.
HBAR’s structure began shifting as price compressed beneath the descending long-term trendline and the $0.10 horizontal resistance, where sell pressure had repeatedly capped upside.
Buyers gradually absorbed supply within the $0.073–$0.090 range, forming higher lows that hinted at weakening bearish control.
Momentum then expanded, and a decisive weekly close above $0.10 confirmed the structural breakout and trendline breach.
Follow-through buying pushed the price toward $0.134, establishing the first higher high after the downtrend.
Although rejection wicks emerged at this supply zone, pullbacks held above $0.097–$0.10, signaling support reclamation rather than breakdown.
Moreover, holding above former resistance confirmed acceptance, while the higher-low defense validated early higher-timeframe trend reversal.
Together, the breakout, the support flip, and the higher highs-higher lows formation signaled a transition from distribution into early bullish trend development.
Factors amplifying HBAR’s bullish momentum
As the bullish structure matured, volume and leverage flows began accelerating.
Hedera [HBAR] recorded clear volume expansion during the rebound phase amid global logistics powerhouse FedEx joining Hedera’s council. Spot trading volume surged over 43%, exceeding $200 million.
Price simultaneously advanced 7%, reclaiming key moving averages. This rise confirmed strong buyer conviction behind the move.
Demand originated from the $0.09 support base, signaling organic accumulation rather than speculative rotation.
Moreover, the rally aligned with an inverse head-and-shoulders formation. Rising volume into the neckline break strengthened pattern validity and sustainability.
Derivatives positioning then added further context. Futures Open Interest climbed 9% to nearly $29 million between the 11th and the 12th of February.
At the same time, Funding Rates flipped positive near +0.05%. This shift indicated leveraged longs entering aggressively.
While leverage amplified upside momentum, it also introduced crowding risk. Elevated positioning increases squeeze potential if the price holds. However, it also raises vulnerability to pullbacks if spot demand fades.
HBAR: Reversal momentum builds
At the time of writing, HBAR continued confronting macro downside pressure as the price traded below the descending trendline from the $0.21 November 2025 peak.
Sellers still defended the lower-high structure, yet demand is beginning to rebuild near the $0.078 base.
However, buyers are now pressing into the $0.10–$0.104 supply band after breaking the short-term market structure breakout between $0.090 and $0.102.
If price secures sustained closes above $0.10, buyers will likely target the $0.11–$0.134 resistance corridor. Follow-through strength would confirm a breakout above and extend the emerging higher-low sequence.
However, repeated rejection wicks near $0.104–$0.107 signal active supply. If sellers force the price back below $0.098–$0.10, the breakout risks invalidation.
In that case, price may retrace toward $0.090 or retest the $0.078 demand floor.
Thus, the structure now sits at an inflection point where structural validation above supply will determine whether reversal momentum expands or fades.
Final Summary
- HBAR’s break above $0.10, backed by higher lows and volume expansion, signals an early bullish trend transition from prior distribution.
- Yet leveraged long crowding and supply near $0.104–$0.107 leaves continuation dependent on sustained breakout confirmation above $0.10.
