XRP’s $1.54 breakout test meets Ripple’s 1B token unlock – Can demand absorb supply?

XRP price action is tightening within a narrowing structure as buyers defend rising support while sellers continue capping rebounds. After reaching $1.665, Ripple [XRP] fell and continued to form lower highs towards $1.55.

The rising support defended each of the declines from about $1.45-$1.47. This keeps the short-term recovery shape alive and well. XRP currently trades at approximately $1.4916, close to the bottom border of the triangle.

This makes the next breakout important because it could determine whether the recovery extends or reverses.

Additionally, RSI at 46.02 shows XRP is experiencing neutral to slightly downward momentum against strong buying power. Therefore, if the price breaks through $1.54, it will likely be enough to create room for the price to possibly recover back to $1.70 or higher.

A breakthrough below rising support will indicate a weakening setup. Until then, XRP remains caught between tightening resistance and persistent support.

Evernorth tests XRP’s institutional demand

Evernorth’s introduction of a new demand source for XRP’s tightening range. Evernorth plans to list XRP on the Nasdaq exchange. This will put approximately 566 million XRP into a treasury with over $1.1 billion of committed capital backing the treasury.

This is important because institutional capital can provide longer-term support for the demand of XRP to accumulate and potentially counteract short-term trading demand.

Additionally, XRP has unlocked an additional one billion XRP in four batches of 400, 300, 300, and 100 million XRP.

Therefore, the result of these two factors is dependent upon whether most of the newly unlocked XRP makes its way onto exchanges. If so, what percentage of the newly unlocked XRP is absorbed by institutional demand?

Therefore, if Evernorth deploys capital toward XRP while supply remains off exchanges, the demand could support price stability.

Can XRP break $1.54?

The price of XRP continues to be confined within an area that is a contracting structure, with buyer support increasing but seller resistance still present. The price of XRP was able to rise up to $1.665, after which it formed lower highs toward $1.55.

This indicates there is supply present above current levels. The recent 1 billion XRP release by Ripple brings up one additional factor that affects the overall supply of XRP.

A significant portion of each month’s release may return to escrow, thereby limiting the amount of the released coins that are made available for trade.

Therefore, the post-release flow of funds into exchanges is more important than the release itself. Should exchange balances remain under control, then buyers should be able to absorb the current supply of XRP with little or no disruption.

If XRP breaks decisively through the $1.54 resistance level, then this will shift focus to the next resistance level at $1.70. Conversely, if multiple attempts fail to break through the $1.54 level, it is likely to create a stalemate with respect to continuing upward momentum.

Final Summary

• XRP price tests $1.54, with $1.70 ahead if buyers break resistance.
• XRP faces Evernorth demand against fresh Ripple supply.