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AMBCrypto February 2025 Crypto Market Report: Resilience tested by volatility and hacks

AMBCrypto February 2025 Crypto Market Report

Research outline

Research overview

February 2025 was a month of sharp market shifts, challenging the resilience of cryptocurrencies amid macroeconomic uncertainty, regulatory shifts, and security breaches. Following January’s bullish momentum, investor sentiment weakened as Bitcoin fell below $90K, Ethereum struggled with ETF-driven outflows, and institutional participation declined.

The month was defined by:

Thematic market shifts

Looking ahead

As the market moves into March 2025, investors will be watching:

Despite February’s setbacks, the market remains dynamic—balancing near-term caution with long-term potential for growth and innovation.

Key takeaways 

Trump’s Bitcoin stance: Market impact or political hype?

Bitcoin’s volatility: ETF outflows & macro pressures weigh on price

Ethereum struggles amid ETF uncertainty & market sell-off

Altcoins: Early rally meets harsh reality

NFT & metaverse: Market cooldown, but utility projects gain traction

Institutional investment & regulatory landscape: Mixed trends

February 2025: A record-breaking month for crypto exploits

AMBCrypto’s survey: 4K+ investors shed light on Trump’s pro-Bitcoin stance

Donald Trump’s recent pro-Bitcoin rhetoric has stirred debates across the cryptocurrency community. While some see it as a genuine shift in policy that could favor Bitcoin adoption, others believe it’s merely a political move designed to rally support. AMBCrypto’s latest survey explores whether Trump’s stance is just hype or if it could truly reshape the crypto market.

Trump’s Bitcoin stance: Genuine support or political strategy?

Trump’s pro-Bitcoin stance: Real or just politics?

Opinions on Trump’s Bitcoin stance are split, though a majority believe there’s at least some sincerity behind it. The survey found that 43.3% of respondents believe Trump genuinely supports Bitcoin, while 31% think it’s a mix of genuine belief and political maneuvering. Meanwhile, 21.3% dismissed it as a pure political strategy, and 4.3% remained uncertain.

This diversity in sentiment highlights the ongoing skepticism surrounding politicians’ involvement in crypto. While some view Trump as a potential catalyst for Bitcoin adoption, others remain wary of overpromised narratives.

Can Trump drive Bitcoin’s growth?

Trump’s impact on Bitcoin

When asked about the potential impact of Trump actively championing Bitcoin, most respondents expressed optimism. A significant 65.7% anticipate major changes, believing that Trump’s policies could accelerate crypto adoption and market growth. However, 26.4% expect only minimal impact, arguing that crypto’s trajectory is independent of political influence. A smaller group (7.9%) believes there would be no real impact at all.

This suggests that while Trump’s stance might fuel excitement, many investors are cautiously watching whether his rhetoric translates into actual policy changes.

What kind of crypto policies could Trump introduce?

Expected crypto policies from Trump

Survey participants largely expect a crypto-friendly approach under a Trump administration. Nearly 49.1% foresee clearer, pro-crypto regulations that could bring legitimacy to the industry. Meanwhile, 40.4% believe Trump would favor a free-market approach with minimal regulatory interference.

Interestingly, 22.4% think Trump would focus primarily on Bitcoin while being less supportive of altcoins. However, 7.9% remain skeptical, predicting that despite his pro-Bitcoin stance, there may be little real follow-through on regulatory reforms.

Could Bitcoin become a national reserve asset?

Bitcoin as a national reserve asset under Trump

One of the more ambitious ideas discussed in the survey was whether the U.S. government would hold Bitcoin as part of its national reserves under Trump’s leadership. While still a speculative concept, 65.7% of respondents said they see this as a possibility in the long run.

A more cautious 18.8% believe that while it might happen, the U.S. would only hold a small amount of Bitcoin. Meanwhile, 15.5% flatly rejected the idea, arguing that Bitcoin would never be adopted as part of the country’s reserves.

Hype or real impact? The community weighs in

Overall, AMBCrypto’s survey reveals a largely optimistic view of Trump’s potential impact on Bitcoin and the crypto market. While some skepticism remains, the prevailing sentiment is that his stance is more than just political posturing—it could genuinely shape the industry.

Respondents expect a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment, potential mainstream adoption, and even the possibility of Bitcoin as a national reserve asset. However, concerns persist about whether Trump’s focus on Bitcoin could sideline altcoins and stablecoins.

One respondent summed up the sentiment: “Trump backing Bitcoin might not be just hype, but whether it turns into meaningful action is the real question.”

Bitcoin’s February outlook: Volatility returns as BTC slips below $90K

February 2025 tested Bitcoin’s resilience, as it fell below $90K for the first time since November 2024, with selling pressure intensifying amid macro uncertainty and ETF outflows. Over $1.5B in BTC liquidations occurred in February, making it one of the most volatile months since the ETF approvals.

Bitcoin’s price action: From stability to sharp decline

BTC’s price movement | Source: TradingView

Bitcoin entered February with strong momentum, trading above $100K following a bullish January fueled by institutional inflows. However, macroeconomic uncertainty and declining ETF demand triggered a mid-month sell-off, leading to Bitcoin’s sharp correction.

BTC Liquidation Heatmap (1 month) | Source: CoinGlass

ETF market trends: Inflows slow, GBTC outflows continue

Bitcoin ETF market cap | Source: CoinGlass

After a record-breaking January, Bitcoin ETF inflows slowed significantly in February. The Bitcoin ETF market cap stood at $112.99B, but outflows outweighed new demand in the latter half of the month.

Bitcoin ETF heatmap | Source: CoinGlass

On-chain activity: Retail demand weakens

Bitcoin’s on-chain metrics signaled a drop in retail participation amid the correction.

Bitcoin Active Addresses | Source: CryptoQuant

Holders’ sentiment: Panic selling vs. long-term conviction

Short-term traders reacted to the market downturn, while long-term holders showed mixed signals.

Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) | Source: Newhedge

Market sentiment: Fear returns

Crypto Fear & Greed Index | Source: CoinGlass

Bitcoin’s drop below $90K coincided with a sharp decline in investor sentiment. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to 21 (“Fear”), reflecting a shift from optimism to caution. However, despite the downturn, 73.33% of the month was spent in “Neutral”, indicating that panic selling wasn’t widespread, and investor confidence remained relatively intact.

What’s next for Bitcoin?

With BTC struggling to reclaim $95K, the market’s next moves will depend on ETF flows, macroeconomic policies, and investor sentiment.

Ethereum’s monthly market overview: ETF uncertainty weighs on ETH

Key points

Ethereum’s price performance in February

ETH price history | Source: Blockchain.com

Ethereum experienced a sharp correction in February, mirroring Bitcoin’s downward trajectory. After starting the month near $3,500, ETH faced heavy selling pressure, dipping to $2,337, its lowest level since October 2024. The decline was fueled by:

By the end of February, ETH rebounded slightly to $2,413, but the overall trend remained bearish.

ETF outflows and institutional sentiment

Daily Ethereum Spot ETF Net Inflow and Total Ethereum Spot ETF Net Inflow | Source: CoinGlass

Ethereum’s ETF market saw consistent outflows throughout February, contrasting with Bitcoin’s early ETF-driven momentum. Daily outflows exceeded 16,000 ETH, reflecting weak investor confidence in Ethereum’s ability to attract institutional capital compared to Bitcoin.

Ethereum ETF assets under management (AUM) declined to $10.18B, with major funds like iShares Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHA) and Grayscale Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHE) posting losses of -7.73% and -8.13%, respectively.

This ETF uncertainty contributed to ETH’s underperformance relative to BTC, reinforcing concerns that Ethereum may struggle to replicate Bitcoin’s institutional adoption.

Staking and network security metrics

Staked ETH | Source: beaconcha.in

Despite price volatility, Ethereum staking remained robust, with 30M+ ETH staked and over 900K active validators ensuring network security.

This highlights Ethereum’s resilience, as long-term network participants appear unfazed by short-term price action.

Market liquidity and derivatives trends

Ethereum’s futures and options markets signaled a shift in sentiment, with:

These trends reflected a cautious outlook, with traders positioning for further downside or consolidation.

What’s next for Ethereum?

Looking ahead, Ethereum’s price direction will largely depend on ETF demand, macroeconomic conditions, and upcoming protocol developments.

Ethereum’s fundamentals remain strong, but price action will be dictated by external factors, particularly institutional participation and macroeconomic developments.

February’s altcoin market update: Early rally and correction

Altseason optimism meets reality

February 2025’s small-cap bullish altcoins

The bullish momentum from January spilled into early February, sparking renewed altseason optimism. Analysts anticipated a strong rotation into altcoins, with Ethereum’s early strength fueling speculation. Smaller caps witnessed explosive rallies—Story (IP) surged +205%, Sonic (S) jumped +60%, and Maker (MKR) gained +58% as traders sought high-growth opportunities.

Winners vs. losers: A tale of two halves

February 2025 altcoin gainers & losers

The altcoin market saw divergent performances—some tokens skyrocketed on speculation, while others crumbled. Scotcoin (SCOT) led the rally with a staggering +742% gain, making it the top performer among the top 1000 tokens. However, the Solana ecosystem and memecoins struggled mid-month, with Raydium (RAY) dropping -16%, Jupiter (JUP) sliding -14%, and the once-hyped Trump (TRUMP) token losing -12%.

Major altcoins hit hard by late-February sell-off

February 2025’s large-cap bearish altcoins

The late-month market correction disproportionately affected large-cap altcoins compared to Bitcoin. Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA) each plunged by ~20%, underperforming BTC. SOL, which had reached an all-time high of ~$295 in January, tumbled to ~$140, marking a significant drawdown. XRP, after a strong January, dropped ~11% to ~$2.21, reflecting a shift to a risk-off environment.

Memecoins & speculative tokens: Hype vs. reality

February 2025’s memecoin gain reversals

The memecoin frenzy cooled off in February, with many high-flying tokens reversing gains:

Despite these declines, memecoins remained highly traded, showing that speculative interest persists even during corrections. Analysts noted that DOGE and SHIB still dominate memecoin market caps, and a renewed risk appetite could fuel another breakout.

Notable sectoral trends: AI and tokenized assets maintain growth

Despite volatility, some altcoin sectors remained resilient. AI-focused tokens like Fetch.ai and Render Network continued their upward trajectory, maintaining high trading volumes as investors explored AI-blockchain synergies. 

Similarly, tokenized asset platforms (e.g., Ondo, MantraDAO) sustained their growth momentum from January, with the tokenized securities market cap reaching $72B, up ~7.7% in January and likely holding firm through February. These trends indicate that fundamentally strong altcoin narratives persisted even amid market turbulence.

Regulations, institutions, and macro trends: February’s market shapers

Institutional investment & market trends

Early-month inflows, late-month pullback

Total Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow (USD) | Source: CoinGlass

ETF market developments

Major institutional moves

Regulatory shifts: The U.S. and global impact

Pro-crypto policies under Trump

Global regulatory landscape

Macroeconomic influence on crypto markets

Federal Reserve policies & interest rates

Strong U.S. dollar impact

Outlook: Institutional caution, but long-term adoption

NFTs and metaverse: Market slowdown but continued development

NFT market trends

NFT Global Sales Volume | Source: CryptoSlam

The NFT market in February 2025 witnessed a sharp decline in sales volume and transaction activity, reflecting continued market consolidation post-hype. According to on-chain data:

Despite the decline in overall volume, buyer participation surged mid-month, with weekly buyer counts spiking 624%, indicating a shift toward lower-cost NFTs as new entrants tested the market.

NFT marketplace performance

NFT marketplace rankings in February 2025

Marketplace rankings shifted as trading activity cooled:

These figures indicate that while leading platforms retained market dominance, newer entrants continued to attract niche traders.

Top NFT sales & collections

NFT collectible sales rankings in February 2025

The highest-grossing NFT collectibles for February were:

  1. Uncategorized Ordinals #891277 Sold for $7.75M (80.12 BTC).
  2. Uncategorized Ordinals #857263 Sold for $1.5M (15.53 BTC).
  3. CryptoPunks #8868 – Sold for $558K (206 ETH).
  4. CryptoPunks #5473 – Sold for $547K (162 ETH).
  5. Book.io – Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde – Sold for $390K (600K ADA).

Ordinal NFTs (Bitcoin-based assets) led sales, underscoring the ongoing demand for high-value Bitcoin-native digital collectibles.

Among NFT collections:

NFT collection rankings in February 2025

Metaverse development continues amid token slump

Metaverse tokens followed broader market trends, facing steep corrections:

Outlook: Short-term pain, long-term growth

February’s downturn in NFT sales and metaverse tokens suggests a market in post-hype consolidation, shedding speculative excess while reinforcing real use cases. While trading volumes declined, a steady influx of new users and major Web2 investments indicate that quality projects with strong utility and community engagement could be the biggest winners in the coming months.

Security & hacks: A record-breaking month for crypto exploits

Bybit $1.4B hack – The largest in crypto history

February 2025 witnessed one of the most severe security breaches in crypto history. On February 21, hackers infiltrated Bybit, a major global exchange, stealing approximately $1.4 billion in crypto assets, primarily Ethereum (ETH) and related tokens.

Forensic blockchain analysis traced the attack to North Korean state-sponsored hackers, indicating a level of sophistication comparable to traditional financial heists. Cybersecurity experts compared the incident to major historical bank robberies, further solidifying crypto’s status as a geopolitical risk vector.

Other major hacks & exploits in February 2025

While the Bybit hack dominated headlines, DeFi and NFT platforms also suffered high-profile security breaches, adding to the industry’s growing concerns.

Infini Protocol ($50M exploit, February 24)

Smaller attacks across DeFi & NFTs

Total losses from crypto hacks in February exceeded $1.5 billion—a single-month record surpassing some full-year losses in past cycles.

Industry response & security enhancements

The unprecedented losses prompted immediate security reforms across the crypto ecosystem:

Exchanges & wallet providers

DeFi projects

Regulatory & law enforcement action

Decline in wash trading on NFTs

Outlook: Strengthening crypto’s security infrastructure

February 2025 was a harsh reminder of the systemic security risks in crypto, reinforcing the need for:

As security measures evolve, the crypto industry must balance decentralization with effective risk management, ensuring that mass adoption is not derailed by recurring vulnerabilities.

References

  1. CoinGlass
  2. CryptoQuant
  3. DeFiLlama
  4. Glassnode
  5. beaconcha.in
  6. CryptoSlam
  7. DappRadar
  8. Santiment
  9. IntoTheBlock
  10. Farside Investors
  11. CoinGecko
  12. CoinMarketCap
  13. Messari
  14. ETF.com
  15. TradingView
  16. Dune Analytics
  17. NFTGo

Disclaimer: This report analyzes data till February 25, 2025. It aims to provide comprehensive insights into market developments. All data presented is intended for informational and educational purposes. It’s crucial to note that no investment decisions should be made solely based on the information contained within this report. Ultimately, individuals are responsible for their own investment decisions and should conduct thorough research and analysis before making any financial commitments.

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