Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.
- AVAX was bearish on the four-hour chart at press time.
- However, sentiment and funding rates improved.
Avalanche [AVAX] incurred a loss of about 20% after dropping from $21 to nearly $16. But the pullback may be easing as price consolidation crept in. At the time of writing, AVAX’s value was $16.98, oscillating between $16.5 and $17.4 since 22 April.
Read Avalanche’s [AVAX] Price Prediction 2023-24
Meanwhile, Bitcoin [BTC] consolidated near the $27k price range as bulls tried to block bears from sinking it lower. If BTC bulls defend the price range, AVAX could continue to hover above the $16 psychological level.
A price dump, rally or consolidation – What’s next?
Source: AVAX/USDT on TradingView
The price action was below its short- and long-term trends at press time. Notably, the 200-MA (Moving Average) was flat, indicating a likely extended consolidation. But the 20-EMA had a downtick, suggesting a likely price dump in the short term.
As such, the AVAX/USDT pair could oscillate between $16.41 and the 20-EMA or drop to $15.51 in the next few hours/days. Any extended downtrend beyond $15.5 could ease near March’s swing low of $14.
A close above the 200-MA and $18.31 could tip the pair to rally to the $21 – $22 range before facing strong resistance. Nevertheless, the near-term bulls must clear obstacles at the ascending trendline and $20.36.
At press time, the RSI retreated from the oversold zone, indicating bulls were attempting to keep sellers at bay. But the OBV (On Balance Volume) was flat – demand stagnated in the past few days, which could undermine a strong recovery.
Sentiment and funding rates improved
Source: Santiment
How much are 1, 10, 100 AVAXs worth today?
Weighted sentiment dipped to its recent lowest on 22-24 April. However, there was considerable improvement at press time as sentiment edged above the neutral level – reinforcing a mild bullish sentiment.
The improved and positive funding rates further corroborate the mild bullish sentiment above. If the trend persists, the pair could secure the $16 support and attempt to clear the 20-EMA hurdle. However, the support could be breached if BTC drops below $27k. Hence, tracking BTC’s movement is key.
