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AVAX posts 16% weekly gain: A $30 move possible only IF..

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Avalanche surged 16%, with TVL recovery and a potential breakout toward $30 resistance in sight.

Avalanche outpaces top ecosystems with 16% growth: Impact on AVAX?
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  • AVAX surged 16%, leading top-10 ecosystems with rising DeFi TVL and renewed market momentum
  • TVL rebound and bullish sentiment could drive AVAX toward $30, but key resistance remains ahead

Avalanche [AVAX] is back in motion, posting a sharp 16% gain over the past week to become the fastest-growing top-10 ecosystem this month.

Source: CoinMarketCap

The move comes despite a continued slide in Total Value Locked (TVL), which has fallen from over $1.5 billion to around $1.1 billion since the start of 2025. Still, the latest price action suggests a shift in sentiment, with investors betting on a potential breakout.

Avalanche leads top-10 ecosystems 

Avalanche

Source: X

Avalanche has outpaced its layer-1 and layer-2 counterparts, achieving a 14.4% increase in DeFi TVL over the past month—the highest growth among the top 10 ecosystems.

While Ethereum [ETH], Arbitrum [ARB], and Base experienced monthly declines and Solana [SOL] and BSC saw modest gains, Avalanche displayed a distinct upward trend. Its DeFi TVL now stands at $1.63 billion, supported by over 430 protocols.

Despite overall market volatility, this growth reflects heightened developer activity and renewed user interest in the network, positioning Avalanche as a standout performer in early Q2 2025.

TVL rebounds after three-month decline

Avalanche’s TVL showed a notable rebound in April, climbing back above $1.2 billion after a persistent downtrend since early January.

The chart reflects a clear dip from over $1.5 billion at the start of 2025 to sub-$1.1 billion by late March, mirroring broader risk-off sentiment in crypto markets.

Avalanche

Source: DeFiLlama

However, the recent uptick suggests a shift in momentum — likely driven by rising AVAX prices, user incentives, and protocol reactivations.

While still below Q4 2024 levels, this bounce marks the first sign of sustained recovery and could signal a turning point.

AVAX eyes $30, but resistance looms

At press time, AVAX was trading around $20, recovering from March lows near $16.

Technically, the $30 level remains a key psychological and structural resistance – last tested in early February 2025 and again during multiple rejections in mid-2024.

avalanche

Source: TradingView

The chart indicates that AVAX is breaking out of its short-term downtrend. However, for a decisive move toward the $30 mark, bulls must clear the resistance zone between $24 and $26.

If momentum holds and AVAX firmly reclaims the $26 level, a push toward $30 becomes achievable. That said, a period of short-term consolidation is likely before any potential breakout occurs.

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Samyukhtha L KM is a Financial Journalist and Market Analyst at AMBCrypto whose work is defined by one central question: Is the latest trend in blockchain hype, or history in the making? Her expertise is built on a strong academic foundation, with a Master’s in Journalism and Mass Communication from Amity University and a Bachelor’s in Commerce from the University of Madras. This dual qualification equips her with a unique skill set: the financial acumen to dissect market mechanics and the journalistic rigor to investigate and communicate complex subjects with clarity. Samyukhtha specializes in analyzing the socio-economic impact of blockchain adoption and assessing the viability of new market narratives. This includes a focus on high-velocity, community-driven assets such as memecoins, where she evaluates sentiment and fundamentals. She is dedicated to providing readers with insightful, well-researched commentary that looks beyond immediate market moves to understand the long-term implications of decentralized technology.
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