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Bitcoin [BTC] and Litecoin [LTC] Price Analysis: Bulls drag BTC from bear’s trap; fail to save LTC

Namrata Shukla

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Bitcoin [BTC] and Litecoin [LTC] Price Analysis: Bulls drag BTC from bear's trap; fails to save LTC
Source: Pixabay

The cryptocurrency market was painted red on April 25 as most major coins fell. Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, also fell by 2.83% over the day, along with Litecoin [LTC], which reported a fall of 1.25% over the day.

Bitcoin [BTC] one day chart

At press time, BTC noted a fall of 0.39% over the hour and was valued at $5,433.19 with a market cap of $95.97 billion. The coin fell by 2.82% over the past day and noted a minimal growth of 2.90% over the past seven days. The 24-hour trading volume for BTC was observed to be $16.11 billion.

Source: Trading view

Source: TradingView

Resistance- $5,532.75

Support 1- $4,907.92

Support 2- $3,851.02

Bollinger Bands noted a bullish trend as the moving average line was under the candlesticks. The bands appeared to be converging, indicating reduced market volatility.

Awesome Oscillator indicated strong bearish momentum.

Chaikin Money Flow pointed towards a bullish market as the marker was above zero. However, it appeared to be approaching the mark, with a change in trend imminent.

Litecoin [LTC] one day chart

At press time, LTC fell by 1.25% over the past day and was valued at $72.54 with a market cap of $4.46 billion. The coin fell by 0.77% over the past hour and by 10.20% over the past seven days. The 24-hour trading volume was observed to be $3.13 billion.

Source: Trading view

Source: TradingView

Resistance- $93.131

Support- $59.488

Parabolic SAR indicated a bearish market as the dotted markers aligned above the candlesticks.

MACD line was under the signal line, pointing towards a bearish market.

Relative Strength Index indicated that the buying and selling pressure evened each other out.



Conclusion 

According to BTC’s long-term chart, a bullish market was predicted. However, the CMF suggested that a trend reversal may be underway. LTC pointed towards a bearish market.





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JP Morgan: Big banks stand corrected as Bitcoin rally past intrinsic value; admits current surge mirrors 2017 rise

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JP Morgan: Big bank stands corrected at Bitcoin rally past intrinsic value; admits current surge mirrors 2017 rise
Source: Pixabay

Big banks are riding a FOMO wave as the Bitcoin bull-run is just beginning. Spearheaded by the changing colors of JP Morgan, which recently forayed into the digital assets world, the banking elite is now suggesting that their initial stance on Bitcoin and the larger cryptocurrency world might have been off.

A recent chart by JP Morgan shows the current BTC price veer upwards chiding the “intrinsic value” the big bank placed on the virtual currency.

Based on the article by Bloomberg, the price of the coin would reverse towards the end of December 2018 and then make marginal gains until May 2019, all under the $5,000 mark. In reality, the BTC price, after dropping to “rock bottom” at just above $3,100 in early December 2018, edged upwards.

Several spurts of growth were seen in early January and February, prior to a massive April ascendance. On April 2, Bitcoin did away with the bank’s value mode and amassed a daily gain of over 15 percent, fuelling its current rise. Breaking the $5,000 ceiling in the process, which was pegged to remain intact well into May 2019, the king coin is now almost $3,000 ahead of the mark and is not looking to stop.

Source: Bloomberg

It should be noted that JP Morgan’s “intrinsic value” is calculated on the basis of the marginal cost of production, electricity prices, and hash rates. This model does not take into account, at least on absolute terms, the anticipatory effect of the 2020 halving, which, according to a slew of analysts is the behind the price rise.

Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, the MD in the Global Market Strategy team at JP Morgan stated that Bitcoin breaking through its “intrinsic value” showed signs of mirroring its 2017 bull run. He evidenced this move by comparing the pre-December 2017 slump to the one seen prior to the current bullish swing.

The analyst added:

“Over the past few days, the actual price has moved sharply over marginal cost. This divergence between actual and intrinsic values carries some echoes of the spike higher in late 2017, and at the time this divergence was resolved mostly by a reduction in actual prices.”

With the analyst admitting that the imparting of an “intrinsic or fair value” to a cryptocurrency, much less a volatile one like Bitcoin, is a “challenging” ordeal, a mere JP Morgan acknowledgement of a Bitcoin bull-run is a remarkable sign for the digital assets industry, especially given the bank’s and its CEO Jamie Dimon’s Bitcoin-bashing in the past.

Mati Greenspan, senior market analyst at eToro attested to the same, adding a key point that JP Morgan failed to take into account in their calculation. He stated:



“Great to see JPM finally admitting that Bitcoin has intrinsic value.
Now wait till they understand that miners who run a surplus tend to begin hording.”

Despite Bitcoin slumping at press time, recording a 1.23 percent decline against the dollar, the prospects look positive. After recording a massive gain on 19 May, briefly surging past $8,000 for the second time in a week, Bitcoin created a High-Low [HL] at $7,100, which many analysts look at with glee.

This HL immediately following last week’s pull-back caused due to post-Consensus bears, a Bitstamp sell-order and market correction showed the king coin’s bullish persistence and can even be a foundation for a $9,000 ascendance, defying any “intrinsic value” expectations.





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