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Bitcoin [BTC] and Litecoin [LTC] Price Analysis: Coins find respite from the bear

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Bitcoin [BTC] Vs. Litecoin [LTC ] Price Analysis: Prices for both BTC and LTC show a bullish trend
Source: Unsplash

Bitcoin has been the world’s premier cryptocurrency since its inception. However, in light of Litecoin’s upcoming halving [August 06, 2019], many people in the community are speculating that Litecoin might lead the bull rally.

Additionally, many believe that Litecoin already hit its bottom and is on a bull run since it surged by ~170% since 13 December, 2018.

Bitcoin 1-day chart

Bitcoin’s price, at press time, was $4,026, with the market cap at $71 billion. The 24-hour trading volume for Bitcoin was at $9.97 billion, slightly less than $10 billion.

Source: TradingView

Support 1: $3,189
Support 2: $3,860
Support 3: $3,681
Resistance 1: $4,111
Resistance 2: $6,094
Resistance 3: $6,648

The Aroon indicator showed a collapsing downtrend and an uptrend, indicating sideways movement for Bitcoin in the daily timeframe.

The Stochastic RSI had touched the oversold zone, which indicated a possible bullish buying opportunity.

The Chaikin Money Flow suggested that money was flowing into the Bitcoin markets.

Litecoin 1 day chart

At press time, Litecoin’s price was $62.80 and the market cap was $3.75 billion. The 24-hour trading volume for Litecoin was a few million short of $2 billion.

Source: TradingView

Support 1: $23.35
Support 2: $39.65
Support 3: $52.04
Resistance 1: $62.80
Resistance 2: $88.56
Resistance 3: $101.60

The Aroon indicator for Litecoin showed the same movement as Bitcoin, with both the uptrend and downtrend collapsing.

The Stochastic RSI dipped into the oversold zone, with a bullish crossover underway.

The Chaikin Money Flow indicated that there was plenty of money flowing into Litecoin markets.



Conclusion

The price of Bitcoin suggested consolidation, something indicated by the Aroon indicator. However, the Stochastic RSI and CMF indicated a bullish phase for Bitcoin. Litecoin’s price movement showed a similar scenario as Bitcoin, with the CMF and the Stochastic RSI indicating a bullish movement for Litecoin.





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Akash is your usual Mechie with an unusual interest in cryptos and day trading, ergo, a full-time journalist at AMBCrypto. Holds XRP due to peer pressure but otherwise found day trading with what little capital that he owns.

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Bitcoin [BTC] Halving: CoinMetrics pegs top-crypto to rise above $20,000 peak in late-2021

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Bitcoin Halving: CoinMetrics pegs top-crypto to rise above $20,000 peak in late-2021
Source: Pixabay

With a year left for the highly anticipated Bitcoin [BTC] halving, many expect the price of the top-cryptocurrency to surge prior to May 2020. Analysts have previously opined that three months to one year before the halving does the price of the cryptocurrency move up.

A new piece of research from the cryptocurrency analytics firm, CoinMetrics, suggested that in addition to the precursor pump, Bitcoin [BTC] will reach its “local peak” 18 months after the halving.

 

CoinMetrics charts the price of the top coin, divided based on the 2012 and 2016 halving, showing a noticeable trend. A little more than a year after the first halving when the 210,001 block was mined, the price of Bitcoin surged above $1,000 for the first time, in December 2013 to be precise.

Next, During the July 2016 halving, the coin was trading at just above $600 and within the suggested period of 18 months, the top virtual currency saw its second peak. On 17 December, the coin reached a never-before-seen high of over $19,700 as the Chicago Futures exchanges embraced the digital assets market.

With the price of Bitcoin over $5,000 for the first time in over four months, and the precursor halving bulls on the horizon, the price could surge. Furthermore, based on CoinMetrics’ inference, Bitcoin will see its third peak, higher than $20,000, by the close of 2021, eighteen months after the May 2020 halving.

The halving protocol was placed in the original whitepaper to thwart inflationary pressure that would arise with more blocks mined and more Bitcoins supplied. Historical charts prove that this objective has been adhered to, with a constant drop in the inflation rate with the two previous halvings.

In 2012, the inflation was over 25 percent and immediately after the miner reward reduction to 25 BTC per block, it dropped to under 15 percent. A bracket between 7 percent and just under 20 percent sustained until the second halving in July 2016.

The second halving saw a decline in inflation rate to under 5 percent for the first time in the coin’s history, which has been maintained till today. CoinMetrics pegs the inflation, at press time, to be 3.8 percent. Furthermore, if the historic trend continues, the inflation rate would drop by more than 50 percent to 1.8 percent in May 2020.



Based on the current market and using a historical outlook, analysts suggested that 2019 will be the year of building the industry while the price effect will manifest next year, with the halving being at the very core. Many believe that institutional interest on the rise and the growing crypto-adoption surge could result in a bullish 2020.

Charlie Lee, BTCC’s co-founder suggested in December 2018 that Bitcoin’s next rally will begin in “late 2020”, months after the halving and would peak in December 2021 at 333,000. However, the precursor to this rise would be a January 2019 bottom of $2,500 which did not materialize.





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