Bitcoin Cash has come to the fore, emerging as the highest-gainer in the top-10 as the collective market shot-up above the $120 billion-mark. The fourth-largest cryptocurrency is now head and shoulders above the rest of the coins in the market, in terms of 24-hour price increase, with a massive 7 percent price increase in a bearish market.
On 22 January, the BCH price slipped to a one-month low of $118.8, following which it saw a 10.79 percent increase as the coin’s price shot up to $131.64. The market cap of the coin surged by over $225 million in less than a day and is now valued at $2.31 billion.
Exchange dominance has also seen a re-shuffle, with the top spot being taken over by L-Bank, with a BCH trading volume of $22.52 million or 7.57 percent in the BCH/BTC trading pair. The following two spots are taken by P2PB2B in the BCH/USD and BCH/BTC trading pairs respectively.
It comes as no surprise that the one-hour BCH trend line shows a stand-out green uptick as the BCH price rapidly rose. Two prominent uptrends can be noticed, the first, larger one, stretching from $120.77 to $129.3 and the second, shorter one, extending from $127 to $130.12. Prior to the uptrends, the BCH price fell during the past weekend, indicated by the downtrend from $128.54 to $121.78.
Bitcoin Cash has skyrocketed past its immediate support level pegged at $119.94 and it is very likely to break its resistance placed at $130.49. The previous support and resistance levels of the coin were placed at $125.72 and $130.18 respectively.
The Chaikin Money Flow indicator points to a bullish market as the CMF line is above 0, indicating an inflow of money into BCH.
The Parabolic SAR shows that the coin is trading with bullish momentum as the dotted lines are aligned below the coin’s trend line.
The Awesome Oscillator confirms the above indications, as the AO line is green, showing a bullish swing to the BCH market.
Despite the positive signs in the above one-hour chart, the one-day chart indicates that post the hardfork, BCH prices are on a steep decline, indicated by the massive downtrend stretching from $626.31 in mid-November to $139.64 in January. A brief uptrend, immediately prior to the hardfork, is also noticed from $429.62 to $628.56.
Bitcoin Cash’s support level of $76.7 has long been surpassed, with the coin trading at almost double of the support figure. However, the recent increase in the BCH price is still not close to the immediate resistance level of $196.84.
The Bollinger Band points to a long-run decrease in volatility for the coin as the Moving Average line shows that the coin is trading in a marginally bearish market.
The Fisher Transform indicator shows a crossing over of the Fisher and Trigger lines, indicating a bullish Bitcoin Cash market.
The Relative Strength Index has been on the rise since the week began and is currently pegged at 43.64, up from a low of 37.34 from last week.
Bitcoin Cash is currently leading the top-10 coins list in terms of short-term price increase, which is confirmed by the one-hour chart indicators, pointing to a bullish market. In the long-run, however, the coin is still fighting off the bears and is looking to break into a bullish zone, with the one-day chart indicators pointing to the same.
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Bitcoin [BTC] Halving: CoinMetrics pegs top-crypto to rise above $20,000 peak in late-2021
With a year left for the highly anticipated Bitcoin [BTC] halving, many expect the price of the top-cryptocurrency to surge prior to May 2020. Analysts have previously opined that three months to one year before the halving does the price of the cryptocurrency move up.
A new piece of research from the cryptocurrency analytics firm, CoinMetrics, suggested that in addition to the precursor pump, Bitcoin [BTC] will reach its “local peak” 18 months after the halving.
CoinMetrics charts the price of the top coin, divided based on the 2012 and 2016 halving, showing a noticeable trend. A little more than a year after the first halving when the 210,001 block was mined, the price of Bitcoin surged above $1,000 for the first time, in December 2013 to be precise.
Next, During the July 2016 halving, the coin was trading at just above $600 and within the suggested period of 18 months, the top virtual currency saw its second peak. On 17 December, the coin reached a never-before-seen high of over $19,700 as the Chicago Futures exchanges embraced the digital assets market.
With the price of Bitcoin over $5,000 for the first time in over four months, and the precursor halving bulls on the horizon, the price could surge. Furthermore, based on CoinMetrics’ inference, Bitcoin will see its third peak, higher than $20,000, by the close of 2021, eighteen months after the May 2020 halving.
The halving protocol was placed in the original whitepaper to thwart inflationary pressure that would arise with more blocks mined and more Bitcoins supplied. Historical charts prove that this objective has been adhered to, with a constant drop in the inflation rate with the two previous halvings.
In 2012, the inflation was over 25 percent and immediately after the miner reward reduction to 25 BTC per block, it dropped to under 15 percent. A bracket between 7 percent and just under 20 percent sustained until the second halving in July 2016.
The second halving saw a decline in inflation rate to under 5 percent for the first time in the coin’s history, which has been maintained till today. CoinMetrics pegs the inflation, at press time, to be 3.8 percent. Furthermore, if the historic trend continues, the inflation rate would drop by more than 50 percent to 1.8 percent in May 2020.
Based on the current market and using a historical outlook, analysts suggested that 2019 will be the year of building the industry while the price effect will manifest next year, with the halving being at the very core. Many believe that institutional interest on the rise and the growing crypto-adoption surge could result in a bullish 2020.
Charlie Lee, BTCC’s co-founder suggested in December 2018 that Bitcoin’s next rally will begin in “late 2020”, months after the halving and would peak in December 2021 at 333,000. However, the precursor to this rise would be a January 2019 bottom of $2,500 which did not materialize.
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