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Bitcoin Cash [BCH/USD] Technical Analysis: Support break gives no help as cryptocurrency prepares for hard fork

Akash Anand



Bitcoin Cash [BCH/USD] Technical Analysis: Support break gives no help as cryptocurrency prepares for hard fork
Source: Unsplash

Bitcoin Cash [BCH]’s hard fork was preceded by a massive market crash that saw almost all the cryptocurrencies break their price support. The hard fork slated to commence on November 15 is seen as a marked change in the cryptoverse, with two different parties lobbying for two ideologies on the blockchain.

1 hour:

The BCH one-hour chart shows a downtrend that has taken the price from $518.05 to $449.42. The resistance has been holding at $633.92 while the new support is at $411.69.

The Chaikin Money Flow [CMF] indicator has stayed just below the axis, which is a sign of the bearish market taking over. The graph also points to the monetary outflow being more than the inflow.

The Awesome Oscillator has picked up on the graph which indicates that the market momentum has drastically increased.

1 day:

The one-day graph shows an uptrend and a downtrend which paints a picture of bearish atmosphere. The uptrend saw the prices shot up from $438.21 to $625.21. The succeeding downtrend brought the prices down from $615.26 to $503.36.

The MACD indicator has witnessed a bearish crossover with the signal line and the MACD line both heading towards the bear zone.

The Relative Strength Index [RSI] is tending towards the overbought zone which is a sign of the selling pressure being more than the buying pressure.


The indicators show the cryptocurrency market succumbing under the bear pressure. The CMF, AO and the MACD have all taken the side of the bear, which might result in sustained price movements interspersed with bullish spikes.

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Bitcoin and Ethereum Classic find themselves on opposite ends of the 51% attack spectrum




Bitcoin and Ethereum Classic find themselves on opposite ends of the 51% attack spectrum
Source: Unsplash

Every revolutionary product comes with its own fallacy. However, to its internal metrics, in order for that product to remain adherent to the principle it hopes to expound, the cryptocurrency world is no less. Bitcoin [BTC] and other Proof-of-Work [PoW] cryptos have an in-built fallacy as well, the dreaded “51 percent attack.”

A recent study by cryptocurrency analytics firm LongHash, detailed the cryptocurrencies that are the closest to being subjected to the aforementioned attack.

The report looked at ten of the most significant PoW coins including, Bitcoin, Ethereum [ETH], Bitcoin Cash [BCH], Litecoin [LTC], Dash [DASH], Bitcoin SV [BSV], Zcash [ZEC], Monero [XMR], Ethereum Classic [ETC], and Bitcoin Gold [BTG].

Prior to detailing the study, Longhash listed out the two key points required to execute a 51 percent attack. First, a single mining pool/entity/individual would have to control over 50 percent of a network’s mining power. Second, the energy expenses related to the same, based on renting or sheer purchase of mining power.

Dividing the parameters of performance into two key parts, LongHash initially looked at the one-hour attack cost based on data from OnChainFX as on June 19, and consequently, the percentage of mining power available for rent on NiceHash. The matrix for an unsuccessful attack would be a high one-hour attack cost with low power availability, deeming the network “quite safe.”

Source: LongHash

Bitcoin took the top spot, with the report stating that there exists “very little power available to rent,” coupled with a “very high hourly attack cost.”

Traversing down the estimate cost Y-axis, several coins are scattered including, LTC, ETH, BCH, ZEC, BSV, DASH, and XMR, citing low power available via NiceHash. However, the estimated cost to rent the mining power is fairly low.

The report added,

“Most tokens, however, are clustered in the bottom-right corner of our chart, with low mining power availability and hourly attack costs north of $10,000, which makes them appear relatively safe.”

Moving horizontally further down the total mining power X-axis, BTG is the sole cryptocurrency exhibiting around 35 percent mining power availability on Nice Hash, with the lowest estimated cost to rent 51 percent of mining power for sixty minutes.

The biggest worry by far, was Ethereum Classic. The ETH hardfork had more than 80 percent of its mining power available on NiceHash, while the hourly attack was estimated to cost less than $10,000.

Earlier this year, the ETC network was the subject of a 51 percent attack, with several exchanges pausing ETC-related transactions in the process. The attack led to several cases of network double-spends and re-organisations totaling around $1.1 million or 219,500 ETC.

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