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Bitcoin prices to $111K? – THESE indicators flash warning signs

The $118k level was a key battleground in the short-term, and the rising whale ratio could be an early warning of a deeper price dip.

Bitcoin Struggles Below $118K as Whale Ratio Hints at Possible Pullback

 

Key Takeaways

Even though Bitcoin has not strayed far from its all-time high, social media engagement has turned bearish. One metric showed that calls for a deeper BTC correction could prove correct.


Bitcoin [BTC] was trading just a few dollars under $118K, at press time, after a 4.24% price dip from the all-time high of $123,091. This was a relatively minor price dip.

During bull runs, Bitcoin has seen much deeper corrections in previous cycles.

Bitcoin Drawdown from ATH
Source: Glassnode

The bull run in 2021 saw a 50% drawdown in July 2021 before climbing to $69K later that year. Hence, traders and investors can not reasonably balk at a 5% pullback.

There were signs that a deeper dip could come. How seriously should we take these signs?

Exploring the bullish and bearish case for Bitcoin in the coming days

Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio
Source: CryptoQuant

In a post on CryptoQuant Insights, user Chairman Lee observed that Bitcoin was struggling to overcome the $118K resistance zone. At the same time, the exchange whale ratio was at 0.52.

The metric measures the share of the top 10 inflows versus the total BTC inflows to exchanges.

The metric was at 0.52, and its 30-day Moving Average has been rising since May. Historically, readings of 0.5 generally suggest short-term corrections are likely.

In an earlier report, AMBCrypto highlighted that the recent losses were exacerbated by the long liquidations, driving prices to $115K before it rebounded higher.

Despite the rebound, the market structure remained bearish. The demand zone at $111k-$112k was still an attractive magnetic zone for the price to gravitate toward.

The user concluded that the $118k level was a key battleground in the short term. A sustained price move beyond $118K, while the exchange whale ratio falls, could push Bitcoin to $122K-$124K.

On the other hand, if the metric stays above 0.5 and the price is unable to reclaim $118k, a deeper price drop would be more likely.

Bitcoin Liquidation Heatmap
Source: CoinGlass

The liquidation heatmap agreed with these findings. The two noteworthy liquidity clusters nearby were $113.2K and $121.8K. At the time of writing, a move higher appeared likely since it was closer to the market price.

The exchange whale ratio was something to keep an eye on. If the metric climbs higher (beyond 0.6) over the weekend, traders need to remain vigilant of a deeper pullback.

For investors with a longer time horizon, the future still looks promising.

Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Akashnath S

Journalist

Akashnath S is a Senior Journalist and Technical Analysis expert at AMBCrypto. He specializes in dissecting price action, identifying key market trends through advanced chart patterns, and forecasting both short-term and long-term asset trajectories.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.