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Active Currencies: 17,404
Market Cap: $2.216T
Bitcoin Dominance: 56.17%
24h Market Cap Change: $-0.54

Bitcoin remains undervalued, but profit-taking has begun: THIS metric says why

Bitcoin could be on verge of a short-term correction as on-chain metrics indicates a profit taking phase before a long-term rally.

Bitcoin not overvalued yet, but metrics say profit-taking has begun - Why?
  • BTC’s STH-SOPR ratio data signaled gradual profit-taking phase.
  • MVRV-Z Score highlighted that BTC was undervalued, hinting at a longer-term rally.

Bitcoin [BTC]has been rallying strong, moving past the $85K–$70K accumulation range to reclaim the $100K key milestone once again.

According to AMBCrypto’s earlier analysis backed by CryptoQuant data, this was a solid zone to start accumulating.

But as the market matures, it is time to now think differently. The profit taking phase may be looming as investors bank on gradual and smart positions distribution.

Short term holders data hints at a potential profit taking phase

The Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR) is a key on-chain tool for tracking profit-taking activity among short-term Bitcoin holders.

Historically, when STH-SOPR enters the red zone, it signals increased selling near local market tops.

This doesn’t mean Bitcoin’s rally is over, but it does highlight a high-probability zone for gradual profit-taking.

Past market cycles show that red SOPR readings often align with euphoric phases.

For BTC investors holding spot positions, now is the time to plan a structured, step-by-step selling strategy—avoiding emotional exits in favor of a strategic approach.

Source: CryptoQuant

In most cases smart investors usually offload 10–20% at key price milestones. This gives the “ammo” to sell at higher levels if the rally continues while also locking in gains along the way.

As the big players make these strategic profit locking moves, a short price correction to test the $100k demand zone could be engineered before a further BTC rally.

BTC’s MVRV Z-score confirms a room for further rally

Many analysts advocate for a gradual position exit, which could soon impact Bitcoin’s price action. To support this, AMBCrypto paired STH-SOPR with another key on-chain metric: the MVRV-Z Score.

This metric compares market value to realized value, helping identify potential overvaluation. At press time, the MVRV-Z Score was at just 2.3—far below the “overvalued” danger zone of 7+.

This strengthens the case for a measured distribution of BTC.

Source: CryptoQuant

The market may continue higher, but the current SOPR red zone offers BTC investors a rational point to begin securing profits.

 

Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Kelvin Murithi

Journalist

Kelvin Murithi is a crypto journalist and on-chain analyst covering market structure, price action and blockchain data. He is a Bsc. Actuarial Science graduate and harnesses his statistical and data analysis skills to translate complex metrics into clear insights for everyday crypto investors.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.