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Bitcoin SV [BSV] Technical Analysis: Long-term volatility drops; short-term bulls arrive

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Bitcoin SV managed to run with the market momentum and saw meager gains, as the market rose from its monthly low of $117.78 billion to cross the $120 billion mark. Barring XRP’s minor decline, the rest of the top coins in the market are seeing minimal green with Bitcoin Cash [BCH] being the highest gainer.

At press time, the nChain spearheaded project, Bitcoin SV, has edged up the US dollar by 1.37 percent and is priced at $76.27. The market cap of the BCH hardfork is on the rise at $1.34 billion, with a large gap of over $200 million re-established against the eleventh-placed Cardano [ADA].

In terms of exchange volume dominance, the top two spots are taken by BitMart, with the following BSV trading volumes: $6.94 million at 11.58 percent and $6.18 million at 10.31 percent in the BSV/BTC and BSV/USDT trading pairs respectively.

1-hour:

The one-hour points to a recent uptick in the BSV prices as the collective market resurged, portrayed by the uptrend extending from $75.24 to $77.61. Previously, the coin saw two significant downtrends the first, a more severe one, extending from $85.02 to $77.7, and the second one from $77.7 to $75.27.

Bitcoin SV is closing in on its immediate resistance level placed at $77.40, after shooting up from its immediate support level of $74.34. The previous support and resistance level stood at $75.95 and $78.98 respectively.

The Bollinger Bands point to an uptick in the short-term volatility of the coin, marked by its recent increase. The Moving Average line indicates a bullish swing for the coin in the short-term.

The Chaikin Money Flow indicates that investors are putting funds into Bitcoin SV, signaling a bullish market as the CMF line is above 0.

The Fisher Transform indicator points to a cross-over of the Fisher and Trigger lines as the BSV market looks bullish.

1-day:

The one-day chart points to a bearish market, since the coin emerged in mid-November 2018, with stabilizing forces coming to the fore recently. The coin’s volatile price movement has subsided with relatively consistent daily changes for Bitcoin SV, following the trend of the collective market. Bitcoin SV has not managed to break the $100-price mark, nor has it fallen below $70 since the year began.

One major downtrend overshadows the coin’s one-day trend line, stretching from $219.20 to $78.43, and a brief uptrend experienced during mid-December, extending from $75.52 to $113.73. As mentioned earlier, BSV has begun to stabilize with the immediate support and resistance levels fairly close to each other at $74.67 and $84.63 respectively.

The MACD line indicates that the coin has been trading in a bearish market for most of its existence, barring a brief bullish swing in late-December.

The Parabolic SAR shows that the coin is in a bearish market as the dotted lines are aligned above the coin’s trend line.

The Relative Strength Index has not risen above the 50-mark since the coin emerged post the hardfork, the RSI at press time stands at 41.3.



Conclusion:

The volatile spree of Bitcoin SV is likely to end as the coin begins to settle in. In the short-run, indicators point to a bullish market as the collective market looks green, however, in the long-run, since its split from Bitcoin Cash, the coin has been in a bearish market, with recent signs of market stabilization.





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Graduate of Finance and Economics, interested in the intersection of the world of decentralized currency and global governance.

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Bitcoin [BTC] Halving: CoinMetrics pegs top-crypto to rise above $20,000 peak in late-2021

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Bitcoin Halving: CoinMetrics pegs top-crypto to rise above $20,000 peak in late-2021
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With a year left for the highly anticipated Bitcoin [BTC] halving, many expect the price of the top-cryptocurrency to surge prior to May 2020. Analysts have previously opined that three months to one year before the halving does the price of the cryptocurrency move up.

A new piece of research from the cryptocurrency analytics firm, CoinMetrics, suggested that in addition to the precursor pump, Bitcoin [BTC] will reach its “local peak” 18 months after the halving.

 

CoinMetrics charts the price of the top coin, divided based on the 2012 and 2016 halving, showing a noticeable trend. A little more than a year after the first halving when the 210,001 block was mined, the price of Bitcoin surged above $1,000 for the first time, in December 2013 to be precise.

Next, During the July 2016 halving, the coin was trading at just above $600 and within the suggested period of 18 months, the top virtual currency saw its second peak. On 17 December, the coin reached a never-before-seen high of over $19,700 as the Chicago Futures exchanges embraced the digital assets market.

With the price of Bitcoin over $5,000 for the first time in over four months, and the precursor halving bulls on the horizon, the price could surge. Furthermore, based on CoinMetrics’ inference, Bitcoin will see its third peak, higher than $20,000, by the close of 2021, eighteen months after the May 2020 halving.

The halving protocol was placed in the original whitepaper to thwart inflationary pressure that would arise with more blocks mined and more Bitcoins supplied. Historical charts prove that this objective has been adhered to, with a constant drop in the inflation rate with the two previous halvings.

In 2012, the inflation was over 25 percent and immediately after the miner reward reduction to 25 BTC per block, it dropped to under 15 percent. A bracket between 7 percent and just under 20 percent sustained until the second halving in July 2016.

The second halving saw a decline in inflation rate to under 5 percent for the first time in the coin’s history, which has been maintained till today. CoinMetrics pegs the inflation, at press time, to be 3.8 percent. Furthermore, if the historic trend continues, the inflation rate would drop by more than 50 percent to 1.8 percent in May 2020.



Based on the current market and using a historical outlook, analysts suggested that 2019 will be the year of building the industry while the price effect will manifest next year, with the halving being at the very core. Many believe that institutional interest on the rise and the growing crypto-adoption surge could result in a bullish 2020.

Charlie Lee, BTCC’s co-founder suggested in December 2018 that Bitcoin’s next rally will begin in “late 2020”, months after the halving and would peak in December 2021 at 333,000. However, the precursor to this rise would be a January 2019 bottom of $2,500 which did not materialize.





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