Connect with us
Active Currencies 14757
Market Cap $2,278,874,343,794.40
Bitcoin Share 54.40%
24h Market Cap Change $-1.81

Bitcoin: Top reasons why BTC’s ‘bull cycle’ is far from over

2min Read

Bitcoin price may rebound as low orderbooks and whale activity signal recovery.

Bitcoin

Share this article

  • Bitcoin price action showed low orderbook depth.
  • Market indicators say the way is up.

Recently, Bitcoin [BTC] has experienced a significant drop, much like other cryptocurrencies, following the market crash on 5th August.

Despite a brief recovery that pushed Bitcoin to $60K, it faced strong resistance and quickly fell to $54K.

On the 1-hour timeframe, BTC price action showed low orderbook depth at 0-1% and 1-5%. Historically, low orderbooks have often signaled the bottom of a rally, followed by a bullish trend.

Bitcoin

Source: Hyblock Capital

This suggests that watching the orderbooks closely for a potential reversal in Q4 2024 will be crucial for predicting future price movements.

BTC Fibonacci levels

Looking at Bitcoin’s price action, BTC failed to respect the 0.618 Fibonacci level but did bounce from the 0.786 level, which has been the most reliable Fibonacci retracement this year.

This level now represents the last chance for a higher low, which could signal a potential bounce if combined with low orderbook depth.

If Bitcoin follows past patterns, filling the large wick caused by the Japanese stock market crash could lead to a bounce, pushing the price higher.

Source: TradingView

However, if the pattern fails, BTC may decline further before seeing a rebound.

Bitcoin’s Mayers band

The Mayer’s Band offers additional insights into this Bitcoin bull cycle. It suggests that the cycle is not over yet, with a potential target of $95K, which would not signal the cycle’s end.

A longer-term target of $140K is possible. For long-term traders, staying away from short-term charts may be wise until Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high.

The duration and magnitude of this Bitcoin cycle appear to be greater than previous cycles, which could indicate more growth ahead.

Bitcoin

Source: TradingView

Bitcoin adjusted dormancy flow

Another key indicator is the Bitcoin adjusted dormancy flow, which currently reads around $10. Historically, BTC price has always bounced from these levels.

When combined with the low orderbook depth, this adds further confidence to the idea that Bitcoin could see a price rebound soon.

There is also the possibility that BTC might briefly drop to $50K before making a significant upward move, potentially displacing its all-time high.

Bitcoin

Source: Glassnode

Bitcoin whale activity increasing

Lastly, whale activity is on the rise, with BTC whales increasing their long positions with low leverage, typically between 1.2x and 3x.


Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-25


Unlike retail traders, whales use algorithms to Dollar Cost Average (DCA) into low-leverage longs as the price drops, avoiding emotional decision-making.

This calculated approach from Bitcoin whales could help propel BTC price to new, higher levels as they accumulate during the downturn, setting the stage for a possible major price surge.

Bitcoin

Source: TradingView

Share

Lennox is a professional financial market analyst who's enthusiastic about blockchain, cryptos, and web3. He started blogging about cryptos back in 2019 and has since never looked back. His work revolves around looking at crypto-projects analytically on a technical and on-chain level, while also making sure it's palatable to the general audience.
Read the best crypto stories of the day in less than 5 minutes
Subscribe to get it daily in your inbox.
Please check the format of your first name and/or email address.

Thank you for subscribing to Unhashed.