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Bitcoin vs. tariffs: The ultimate test for BTC’s ‘safe-haven’ use case

2min Read

Bitcoin faces a real-world test as tariffs ease, proving whether it’s a hedge or just hype.

Bitcoin

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  • Bitcoin’s use case is about to take center stage – again.
  • Will another liquidity sweep be the spark that sends BTC into price discovery mode?

“Cautious optimism” is creeping back into the crypto market, and it’s easy to see why. 

The U.S. is slashing tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%. Meanwhile, China is trimming its own from 125% to just 10%. Both for a limited 90-day window.

Given this, it’s easy to think Bitcoin’s [BTC] path to a new all-time high just got a bit clearer. But according to AMBCrypto, Bitcoin’s use case is about to face a serious real-world stress test. 

Bitcoin’s use case : Hype or hedge in a post-tariff world?

Since “Liberation Day” on the 2nd of April, when tariff talks first kicked off, Bitcoin has been outperforming stocks.

In fact, it powered through April’s stock sell-off and kept leading as markets bounced back, even after the tariffs were put in place.

Take the S&P 500, for example. In the week following Liberation Day, it plummeted 12%, while Bitcoin only saw a minor 5% dip.

What’s even more impressive? This resilience came despite a $1 billion outflow from BTC ETFs on a weekly basis. 

Bitcoin use case

Source: BGeometrics

This price action clearly cemented Bitcoin’s role as a strategic hedge. Hence, further proving its use case as a go-to ‘safe haven’ in volatile markets. 

But what happens now that those macro risks are cooling off? According to AMBCrypto, if Bitcoin keeps climbing, regardless, it might just prove that its use case goes far beyond the headlines.

In short, it’s time to see if BTC is built to last – or if it’s just riding the “hype.”

Investors adjust to market signals

As macro tailwinds shift, market repositioning is in full swing. S&P 500 futures are already up by +3% at press time, with top tech giants back in the green. 

Meanwhile, the bond market is experiencing a sell-off, as evidenced by the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield (interest on government borrowing) rising nearly 6%, reaching 4.433% bps. 

Treasury yield

Source: Trading Economics

Risk-on capital is back in full force, and the timing couldn’t be more critical. Bitcoin is eyeing a pivotal resistance zone at $106k – a major hurdle for its bullish use case. 

The burning question: Will BTC take center stage as a hedge in this post-tariff calm? With rate cuts looking increasingly unlikely, this could be the trigger for its next move, weather up or down.

It’s crunch time for Bitcoin to prove its ‘safe-haven’ use case once and for all. 

Hence, showing the market that it’s not just a speculative play, but a legitimate hedge.

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Ritika is a full-time journalist at AMBCrypto with a passion for exploring the connection between world politics, economic trends, and the ever-evolving crypto market. With a background in Political Science, she analyzes data to understand how market movements shape your favorite coins.
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