- Cardano needs a 1,960% surge to hit the $10 mark, mirroring its past exponential rallies. Can history repeat itself?
- Active addresses have dropped significantly—will ADA’s network activity recover in time to fuel a major price breakout?
Cardano [ADA] has been showing signs of a potential breakout, with analysts eyeing a surge toward the $10 price mark. The asset has maintained support above $0.80 and is testing the critical resistance at $1.20.
If it successfully clears this barrier, a substantial rally could follow. However, achieving this ambitious target would require a significant price increase.
To assess the feasibility of such a move, on-chain data and historical trends must be considered.
Key price levels for ADA’s potential rally
The current structure of Cardano’s price action suggests a historical fractal formation, mirroring past bullish cycles.
The weekly chart indicates that ADA has previously experienced exponential surges once it broke past major resistance zones.
If this pattern repeats, the next leg of the rally could push Cardano toward the projected $10 price range.
In the short term, ADA faces critical resistance at $1.20, a level that has acted as both support and resistance in past cycles. Beyond this, $1.50, $2.20, and $3.00 remain key psychological levels.
Breaking through these could set the stage for further gains.
Source: TradingView
However, ADA must maintain its position above $0.80, which currently serves as a crucial support zone. A failure to hold this level could invalidate the bullish outlook, leading to a deeper retracement.
On-chain metrics: Does the data support a rally?
Examining Daily Active Addresses, a significant drop has been noted in user activity.
The latest on-chain data shows a sharp decline in the number of active addresses interacting with the network, suggesting reduced network engagement.
Historically, an increase in active addresses has preceded major price rallies, meaning that ADA might need a surge in network participation to support its upward movement.
Source: Santiment
Additionally, trading volume and liquidity are important factors to watch. The most recent volume data suggests that buying pressure remains steady, but has yet to show the explosive growth seen in previous breakouts.
If volume spikes alongside a price breakout, it would signal strong market confidence.
Historical comparison: How much would ADA need to gain?
A look at ADA’s past bull runs provides a reference point for its potential upside. During the 2021 cycle, ADA saw a 2,600% increase within a similar timeframe.
If a similar pattern were to emerge, ADA would require an approximately 1,960% surge to reach the $10 target.
While such a move is not unprecedented, it would require a combination of strong market sentiment, increased adoption, and overall crypto market momentum.
Will ADA break out or face rejection?
The next few weeks will be critical in determining whether Cardano can sustain its bullish trajectory. If ADA clears the $1.20 resistance, a move toward $2.20 and beyond becomes increasingly plausible.
However, failure to break this level could lead to further consolidation, delaying the expected rally.
Investors should monitor on-chain activity, trading volume, and macroeconomic factors influencing the broader market.
While ADA’s past performance suggests the potential for a major rally, its ability to reach $10 depends on sustained momentum and increased investor participation.
At its current price, ADA remains at a crucial point. Whether it surges to new highs or faces resistance, traders will be closely watching for the next major move.
