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Chainlink: Examining if LINK bulls can extend gains beyond $18

2min Read

Chainlink rallied as high as $18 before falling lower, but the strong demand meant another move higher was due soon.

Chainlink Breaks Out, MVRV Z-Score Indicates Undervalued Market
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  • Chainlink reclaimed the range highs as support and exhibited a bullish structure.
  • The market bottom and steady demand in recent weeks meant investors would be hopeful of an extended rally.

Chainlink [LINK] had broken out of a two-month range formation and witnessed increased buying pressure recently.

The MVRV metric showed that the Chainlink market might have bottomed. If the bullish conditions persist, the token could yield higher returns in the coming months.

LINK MVRV Z-Score

Source: Glassnode

For the uninitiated, the MVRV Z-Score is a metric that evaluates whether an asset is undervalued or overvalued relative to its “fair value”.

Historically, bottoms appear when market value drops well below realized (i.e., total invested) value.

The MVRV Z-Score’s drop into the green zone occurred last on the 8th of April. At that time, the price of Chainlink was at $11.3. Since then, LINK has rallied 49.5%.

The bullishness around Bitcoin [BTC] has also helped the altcoin’s cause.

LINK movement on-chain signaled distribution trends

Chainlink 1-day Chart

Source: LINK/USDT on TradingView

From a price structure lens, LINK broke past the $15.52 range high established in February (highlighted in white).

The recent breakout beyond the local high saw the token retest the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $18. The $18 retest failed, yet bullish momentum suggests another push is likely.

However, momentum didn’t vanish.

Demand still dominates

Since April, the A/D indicator has been rising, signaling strong and sustained market demand for LINK. This demand could drive LINK’s price higher, marking a clear reversal from its six-month downtrend.

With bullish momentum intact, the token may have room for another upward move.

LINK Santiment

Source: Santiment

However, there were some warning signs for the coin that could signal potential challenges ahead.

The Mean Coin Age reflected that network-wide accumulation was difficult to maintain. Since mid-March, LINK has seen multiple waves of heavy selling.

The swift drops in the MCA attest to this. The 180-day MVRV ratio was below zero, showing long-term holders were still at a loss.

The Network Volume to Transactions (NVT) Ratio fell rapidly over the past week. Yet, its spiky behavior since March points to irregular transaction volumes.

At press time, high volume transfer bolstered investor spirits, and the token was not overvalued according to the NVT.

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Akashnath S is a Senior Journalist and Technical Analysis expert at AMBCrypto. He specializes in dissecting price action, identifying key market trends through advanced chart patterns, and forecasting both short-term and long-term asset trajectories. His distinct analytical method is grounded in his academic training as a Chemical Engineer. This background provides him with a systematic, process-oriented approach to market data, enabling him to analyze the complex dynamics of financial markets with precision and objectivity. Having actively covered the cryptocurrency space since the landmark 2017 market cycle, Akashnath possesses years of experience navigating both bull and bear markets. This seasoned perspective is critical to his insightful reporting on market volatility and evolution. As an active market participant, Akashnath enhances his analysis with crucial, hands-on experience. This practical application of his technical skills ensures his insights are not merely theoretical, but are also relevant and actionable for an audience looking to understand and navigate trading opportunities. He is dedicated to educating readers on the nuances of technical analysis, empowering them with the knowledge to make more informed financial decisions.
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