Decoding Ethereum’s [ETH] chances of achieving a 35% surge in staking demand

• A staking service provider predicted the hike and backed it up with reasons.
• Ether deposits have increased on the Beacon Chain, changing the course of stake effectiveness.

Staking has become a critical element of Ethereum’s [ETH] ecosystem since undergoing the transition from Proof-of-Work (PoW). And more recently, the Shanghai upgrade. According to the Staked Q2 report, the ETH stake rate could increase by 20% to 35% in the next 12 to 18 months.

How much are 1,10,100 ETHs worth today?

Higher than the former

Staked, the research subsidiary of the Kraken exchange, noted that a lot of factors were considered before its projection. First, the report mentioned that the average Ethereum staking yield increased from 5.2% to 5.8% on a Quarter-To-Quarter (YoY) basis.

Staking yield is defined as the estimated reward that validators get from committing their assets in order to maintain the security of a blockchain. Thus, implying an increase in participation in the activity.

Although Staked admitted that Kraken was one of the first platforms to allow un-staking, the notable decreases in withdrawal queue could set Ethereum in motion for increased traction. The report noted:

“Average daily deposits are now 6.5x higher than in April. There were more ETH staked in the six days after Shapella (750k) than the entire month of March (600k).”

However, it seems that the prediction by the leading provider of staking services to consumers and institutions could be well on track. This was because the validator rewards withdrawals on the Beacon Chain has significantly decreased.

Source: Santiment

Pledges on the Beacon Chain

It was, however, a different case with Ether deposits on the consensus layer. At press time, this metric was as high as 58,800. Therefore, this means a large percentage of stakers were not yet willing to act in accordance with the withdrawal cycle conditions.  

Furthermore, the stake effectiveness also appeared to align with the projection.

This metric is the ratio of the total effective balance to the total staked balance. It also acts as a measure of the proportion of stETH actively participating in the consensus.

Since its genesis, the stake effectiveness was on a consistent downward trend. But when the Ethereum Foundation announced Shanghai’s success, the tides changed. At press time, the metric was 0.98.

Source: Glassnode

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This indicated that there has been a regular transfer of validator rewards to the Ethereum Mainnet and increased activity on the Beacon Chain. 

In a case where the current momentum is sustained, then demand might increase. But whether it would be as high as predicted or not, depends largely on the participation rate.