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Dogecoin: Mapping how and why DOGE could fall 25%

2min Read

Dogecoin could decline by 25% to reach the $0.22 level – here are some conditions how.

Dogecoin: Mapping how and why DOGE could fall 25%
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  • DOGE’s bearish thesis will only hold if it closes a daily candle below the $0.30 level.
  • Currently, 58.3% of top DOGE traders hold short positions.

Dogecoin [DOGE], the world’s largest and most popular meme coin, is poised for a significant price decline as it has formed a bearish price action pattern.

On the 26th of December, the overall cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin [BTC], Ethereum [ETH], and XRP, experienced a notable price decline, shifting market sentiment toward a downtrend.

Data shows that the major factors currently supporting DOGE’s bearish outlook are the overall market sentiment, traders’ bearish activity, and bearish price action.

Dogecoin technical analysis and key level

According to AMBCrypto’s technical analysis, DOGE is on the verge of breaking down from a small consolidation zone, which formed after it failed to hold the support level at $0.35.

With the recent price decline, the memecoin has reached the lower boundary of the consolidation zone at the $0.30 mark.

Dogecoin (DOGE) technical analysis

Source: TradingView

Based on technical analysis, if DOGE fails to hold this lower boundary and closes a daily candle below the $0.30 level, there is a strong possibility that the memecoin could decline by 25%, reaching the $0.22 level.

DOGE’s bearish thesis will only hold if it closes a daily candle below the $0.30 level, otherwise, it may fail.

DOGE’s bearish on-chain metrics 

This bearish price action has shifted traders’ sentiment. According to the on-chain analytics firm Coinglass, DOGE’s Long/Short Ratio was at 0.71 at press time, the lowest since the beginning of December 2024.

DOGE’s long/short ratio

Source: Coinglass

A ratio below 1 indicates strong bearish market sentiment among traders. Data further reveals that 58.3% of top DOGE traders held short positions at this point, while 41.7% held long positions.

In addition to traders’ bearish views, long-term holders appeared to be accumulating the asset from exchanges, as reported by Coinglass data.

Data from DOGE’s spot inflow/outflow reveals that exchanges have witnessed a significant outflow of $32.75 million in DOGE.

This substantial outflow indicates an ideal buying opportunity and suggests potential upside momentum in the future.


Read Dogecoin’s [DOGE] Price Prediction 2024–2025


Current price momentum

At press time, DOGE was trading near $0.315, having experienced a price decline of over 6.89% in the past 24 hours.

During the same period, its trading volume has dropped by 13%, indicating reduced participation from traders and investors amid fears of a potential price decline.

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Vivaan Acharya is a Crypto-Economist and Journalist at AMBCrypto who brings a rare depth of financial and economic expertise to the world of digital assets. He holds a Master’s in Economics from the prestigious University of Delhi and has over five years of experience analyzing technology and financial markets. His foray into the blockchain space began in 2018, marked by his prescient Master's thesis, "Payments and Stablecoin Integration in Banking," which showcased his early understanding of crypto's potential to disrupt traditional finance. Before specializing in crypto, Vivaan honed his skills in rigorous data and technical chart analysis at a major national financial daily, where he covered corporate earnings and market trends. At AMBCrypto, Vivaan applies this powerful blend of classical economic training and seasoned financial journalism to his work. He is an expert in: 1. Bitcoin and Altcoin Market Analysis 2. Stablecoin Ecosystem Development, and 3 Emerging Crypto Regulations. Known for his clear, no-nonsense approach, Vivaan translates robust research into straightforward, actionable insights. He is dedicated to demystifying the complexities of blockchain finance, empowering readers to confidently navigate the rapidly evolving digital economy.
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