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ETC bulls could overcome the $21.79 hurdle if BTC traverses this path

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ETC bulls could overcome the $21.79 hurdle if BTC traverses this path

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Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

  • A retest of the overhead resistance at $21.79 was likely. 
  • A break below $19.95 would be an invalidation. 

After a 12% rally on 6 January, Ethereum Classic [ETC] got into the $19.95 – $21.77 range. ETC has been trading in the above range since 7 January. 

Read Ethereum Classic’s [ETC] Price Prediction 2023-24

At press time, ETC was trading at $20.52 and could retest the upper range boundary of $21.77 if the demand kicks in. Well, the CPI data will have an important role to play here. 

The U.S. CPI is commonly used to gauge U.S. inflation rates, and speculators were betting on a further decline of the same. 

The upper range boundary of $21.77: Is a retest likely?

Source: ETC/USDT on TradingView

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) overstayed in the overbought zone before it moved sideways. This showed that buying pressure dropped slightly, but bullish momentum was relatively strong. 

In addition, the Money Flow Index (MFI) rebounded from the midrange and showed that a significant distribution had taken place. 

Therefore, ETC bulls could attempt to retest the overhead resistance at $21.77 and go beyond, primarily if BTC aims at the $20K psychological mark. 

However, a break below $19.55 support would invalidate the bullish forecast. Such a move could see bears settle at the 61.8% Fib level of $19.09 or 100-period EMA of $18.76. 

ETC’s mining hashrate recorded an uptick while open interest declined

Source: Messari

According to Messari, ETC’s mining hash rates declined steadily from mid-December 2022 and bottomed out at the end of December. Afterward, it registered an uptick but has yet to reach the mid-December levels. 

Hashrate influences prices directly; thus, a massive drop or increase will lead to price rallies or drops, respectively. ETC’s declining hashrate from mid-Decemeber correlated with ETC’s price decline. 

At press time, there was an uptick in hashrate that could positively affect ETC price if the rise continues. 

Source: Coinglass

Is your portfolio green? Check out the ETC Profit Calculator

On the other hand, ETC’s open interest (OI) rate declined further as the coin moved sideways. It shows more flowed out of the futures market as ETC traders closed or liquidated their positions as ETC traded in a range. 

The hidden OI/price divergence could tip ETC for trend reversal. However, BTC’s price action could give investors more clarity on the next movement.  


Saman Waris works as a News Editor at AMBCrypto. She has always been fascinated by how the tides of finance and technology shape communities across demographics. Cryptocurrencies are of particular interest to Saman, with much of her writing centered around understanding how ideas like Momentum and Greater Fool theories apply to altcoins, specifically, memecoins. A graduate in history, Saman worked the sports beat before diving into crypto. Prior to joining AMBCrypto 2 years ago, Saman was a News Editor at Sportskeeda. This was preceded by her stint as Editor-in-Chief at EssentiallySports.
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