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Ethereum [ETH/USD] Technical Analysis: Bears snatch bulls’ momentary victory

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Ethereum [ETH/USD] Technical Analysis: Bears snatch bulls' momentary victory
Source: Unsplash

Ethereum gave up its second spot for a brief period of time during the XRP rally on November 6 and moved to spot three, but has since made it back to the second position. The Devcon has shed some light on long-standing problems that Ethereum has been facing and Viatlik Buterin has suggested a few alternatives and updates that are coming up in the near future to address those issues.

1-hour

Source: Trading View

Ethereum, like other altcoins, has started their rally to the top. An uptrend is visible as a result, which spreads over the price range starting from $192.68 to $198.11 and up until $212.01. A small downtrend is visible in the price range of $219.53 to $217.44. The support set at $212.83 was breached at 3:00 UTC on November 8. Subsequent supports are at the price points $206, $198.05 and $192.68. There is one resistance that is holding steady at $220.35.

The Parabolic SAR markers are above the price candles, indicating a bearish presence in the market.

The MACD indicator is showing bearish signs as well, as the MACD and the signal line have both taken a nose dive to the bottom after a bearish crossover.

The Awesome Oscillator is teaming up with the SAR and MACD, indicating a bearish run with red spikes developing below the zero line. This is an indication of market momentum decreasing.

1-day

Source: Trading View

There is a significant downtrend spread in the range $593.40 to $218.65, with no prominent uptrend in sight. The prices are holding steady at the support line $182.79. The prices have to cross the first resistance line at $247.76 for a trend reversal, after which there are two more resistance lines at $317.54 and $499.01.

The RSI indicator has failed to cross the 60 line, indicating that the sellers took over midway and are dominating, which is an overall bearish trend.

The RVGI indicator, on the other hand, has seen a bullish crossover and is rising up, indicating bullish pressure.

Conclusion

The one-hour timeframe shows a bearish trend for Ethereum. The one-day chart shows mixed signals as the RSI indicates bearish and RVGI indicates otherwise.





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Wall Street is on the losing side of Bitcoin’s impressive price rally

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Even as Bitcoin breaks $13,000 Wall Street is on the losing side of the price rally
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Wall Street, complete in their tailored suits, suede shoes, and leather briefcases, have once again placed their bets against Bitcoin.

Despite the fact that the collective cryptocurrency market broke the $350 billion mark, with Bitcoin alone accounting for 62 percent of the same and trading at $2,000 over its price at the beginning of the week, hedge funds were not impressed.

The Wall Street Journal citing data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission reported that crypto-vested managers were holding 14 percent short positions more than long ones on the now, primary avenue for BTC Futures contracts, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange [CME].

A key point to remember here is that CME contracts are cash-settled and hence, no Bitcoins are actually being transferred, with the traders simply placing bets on the cash-equivalent price of Bitcoin.

Well-suited hedge fund owners however weren’t alone, with other stakeholders excluding the small scale crypto-investors holding a 3x on short positions, indicating a further pessimistic sentiment.

Smaller investors were however, long on the BTC market, with the CFTC report stating that investors holding 25 BTC or less were holding four times the long positions as their more exuberant counterparts. It should be noted that the CFTC report was prepared as the price of Bitcoin was still in the $9,000 range, prior to the five-figure surge.

BitMEX, a popular cryptocurrency exchange offering derivatives trading services, saw over $64.38 million in shorts liquidated when Bitcoin broke $10,000. The same was replicated when the price shot past $12,000.

Short positions indicate not just a sheepish position, but rather an investors’ contractual affirmation that the price of an asset will more likely fall than rise. Long positions on the other hand, indicate a pessimistic point of view. Hence, based on Wall Street’s trading activity, institutions are not buoyant about the cryptocurrency market.

In what could be a reverse-catalyst for the digital assets industry, Bitcoin decided to use this negativity as fuel to breach $11,000 earlier this week. Not done with the Wall Street bears just yet, BTC pumped yet again on June 26, with the price breaking the $12,000 ceiling with a further climb to $13,000 looking likely.

Who said Coin Street doesn’t go past the Wall Street express lane?





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