Since the past few days, the cryptocurrency market has neither seen a dramatic fall nor a rise. The price of all the coins seems to be stable even though they are controlled by the bear.
According to CoinMarketCap, at press time, Ethereum was trading at $121.51 with a market cap of $12.69 billion. The trading volume of the cryptocurrency is pictured to be $2.25 billion and the coin has plunged by over 4% in the past seven days.
In the one-hour chart, the coin shows a downtrend from $150.73 to $120.51. The uptrend for the coin is registered from $114.35 to $118.87. The coin has to first breach the immediate resistance level, which is set at $122.56 to proceed onto the strong resistance level, which is set at $129.47. The immediate support of the cryptocurrency is at $117.91 and the strong support is at $114.30.
Klinger Oscillator is currently forecasting the bull’s presence in the market for the cryptocurrency as the reading line is pictured above the signal line after a crossover.
RSI is showing that the buying pressure for the cryptocurrency is evened out by the selling pressure for the coin.
Bollinger Bands is picturing a less volatile market as the bands are seen closing in on each other.
The one-day chart demonstrates a downtrend from $618.63 to $115.91 and from $149.49 to $122.53. The cryptocurrency has recorded an uptrend from $83.74 to $115.61 and takes more steps forward to rest at $119.53. The immediate resistance for the coin is set at $156.06 and the strong resistance is at $218.94. The coin has set its immediate support ground at $114.17 and its strong support ground at $82.71.
MACD is forecasting a bearish market as the moving average line is currently seen below the signal line, after the two had a crossover.
Chaikin Money Flow is also predicting a bearish market as the money is flowing out of the market for the coin.
Parabolic SAR is on the same page as the dots have aligned above the candlesticks.
The coin will continue to be held captive by the bear as the long-term players are in its support. This includes MACD, Chaikin Money Flow, and Parabolic SAR from the one-day chart.
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Bitcoin [BTC] Halving: CoinMetrics pegs top-crypto to rise above $20,000 peak in late-2021
With a year left for the highly anticipated Bitcoin [BTC] halving, many expect the price of the top-cryptocurrency to surge prior to May 2020. Analysts have previously opined that three months to one year before the halving does the price of the cryptocurrency move up.
A new piece of research from the cryptocurrency analytics firm, CoinMetrics, suggested that in addition to the precursor pump, Bitcoin [BTC] will reach its “local peak” 18 months after the halving.
CoinMetrics charts the price of the top coin, divided based on the 2012 and 2016 halving, showing a noticeable trend. A little more than a year after the first halving when the 210,001 block was mined, the price of Bitcoin surged above $1,000 for the first time, in December 2013 to be precise.
Next, During the July 2016 halving, the coin was trading at just above $600 and within the suggested period of 18 months, the top virtual currency saw its second peak. On 17 December, the coin reached a never-before-seen high of over $19,700 as the Chicago Futures exchanges embraced the digital assets market.
With the price of Bitcoin over $5,000 for the first time in over four months, and the precursor halving bulls on the horizon, the price could surge. Furthermore, based on CoinMetrics’ inference, Bitcoin will see its third peak, higher than $20,000, by the close of 2021, eighteen months after the May 2020 halving.
The halving protocol was placed in the original whitepaper to thwart inflationary pressure that would arise with more blocks mined and more Bitcoins supplied. Historical charts prove that this objective has been adhered to, with a constant drop in the inflation rate with the two previous halvings.
In 2012, the inflation was over 25 percent and immediately after the miner reward reduction to 25 BTC per block, it dropped to under 15 percent. A bracket between 7 percent and just under 20 percent sustained until the second halving in July 2016.
The second halving saw a decline in inflation rate to under 5 percent for the first time in the coin’s history, which has been maintained till today. CoinMetrics pegs the inflation, at press time, to be 3.8 percent. Furthermore, if the historic trend continues, the inflation rate would drop by more than 50 percent to 1.8 percent in May 2020.
Based on the current market and using a historical outlook, analysts suggested that 2019 will be the year of building the industry while the price effect will manifest next year, with the halving being at the very core. Many believe that institutional interest on the rise and the growing crypto-adoption surge could result in a bullish 2020.
Charlie Lee, BTCC’s co-founder suggested in December 2018 that Bitcoin’s next rally will begin in “late 2020”, months after the halving and would peak in December 2021 at 333,000. However, the precursor to this rise would be a January 2019 bottom of $2,500 which did not materialize.
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