Skip to content
Active Currencies: 17,387
Market Cap: $2.357T
Bitcoin Dominance: 55.75%
24h Market Cap Change: $-2.46

Explaining why ZEC is up over 1000% since June 2025 despite Bitcoin’s losses

Why regulatory clarity, ecosystem growth, and whale accumulation could explain ZEC's divergence.

Explaining why ZEC is up over 1000% since June 2025 despite Bitcoin's losses

The contrast between Bitcoin [BTC] and ZCash [ZEC] price action has become difficult to ignore.

Although the two assets are pegged to the same base currency (USD), Bitcoin has struggled to sustain momentum following its rejection from a major resistance zone.

In contrast, ZEC has continued to attract buyers. The token not only recovered strongly from its recent pullback but has also maintained one of the strongest long-term uptrends in the market.

The correlation coefficient between the two asset price actions stood at 0.306 at press time. That suggested a significant divergence between the two assets’ market direction.  The long-term divergence is also evident; ZEC is up over 1000% since June 2025 despite Bitcoin’s losses.

The obvious question is: what is ZEC doing differently?

ZEC / BTC correlation coefficient.
Source: Coinhedge

Technicals depict diverse projections

Since retesting the 200‑day EMA near the $79K–$85K resistance zone on the 11th of May, BTC has lost momentum and fallen 21%. In contrast, ZEC tracked the broader trend for a week before rebounding, posting a 36% recovery after bouncing off its 20‑day EMA around $481. 

BTC price analysis
Source: TradingView

Regulatory clarity as a major catalyst 

One of the biggest catalysts emerged in May when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission formally closed its investigation into the Zcash Foundation without pursuing enforcement action. 

For years, regulatory uncertainty was one of the biggest risks facing privacy‑focused cryptocurrencies. The SEC’s decision to close its investigation effectively removed that overhang, giving investors greater confidence in ZEC’s future.

History shows that markets often reward certainty, and ZEC appears to have benefited from that shift. On the daily chart, the price action tells the story. 

ZEC price analysis
Source: TradingView

Development activity remained strong

The regulatory update wasn’t the only major network positive development.

Zcash developers also rolled out a critical security patch for the Zebra node, addressing vulnerabilities before they could become a larger concern. The quick response has also reinforced confidence in the network’s technical foundations.

At the same time, the ecosystem has been undergoing a broader restructuring. Developers previously associated with core organizations have begun launching independent initiatives and applications, expanding the network’s development footprint rather than shrinking it.

Taken together, these developments have helped create a narrative centered on growth rather than survival.

Whales and institutions appear to agree

The on-chain data supports the fundamental gains.

The network’s supply held by wallets with more than $1 million has risen significantly during the same period that ZEC has outperformed Bitcoin. That suggests larger investors have been accumulating exposure rather than taking profits.

The derivatives market metrics tell a similar story. Zcash network’s Open Interest has climbed sharply by 16% to $982 million over the last 24 hours. The surge indicates a growing institutional participation and increasing conviction behind the trend.

ZEC whale supply and Total open interests

Source: Santiment

Why the divergence matters

ZEC’s rally is not simply a case of traders rotating away from Bitcoin.

Instead, the token appears to be benefiting from a combination of regulatory clarity, active development, improving investor confidence, and sustained accumulation from larger market participants.

Bitcoin remains the market benchmark, but ZEC has developed its own set of catalysts. As long as those catalysts remain intact, the asset may continue to trade on its fundamentals rather than following Bitcoin’s direction.

As it stands, that is what makes ZEC’s performance stand out: the market isn’t just buying momentum; it appears to be buying the story behind it.


Final Summary

  • Bitcoin has fallen roughly 21% since its rejection near the $79K–$85K resistance zone on May 11.
  • Over the same period, ZEC recovered 36% from its 20-day EMA and remains up more than 1,000% since June 2025.

 

Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Kelvin Murithi

Journalist

Kelvin Murithi is a crypto journalist and on-chain analyst covering market structure, price action and blockchain data. He is a Bsc. Actuarial Science graduate and harnesses his statistical and data analysis skills to translate complex metrics into clear insights for everyday crypto investors.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.