Altcoin
FET’s roadmap to $2 – THIS could be the key!
FET is at a pivotal juncture, where a shift in derivative market sentiment could catalyze a breakout.
- FET stayed flat in October, but bulls have kept it consolidating.
- Now, it’s primed for a breakout, if the right conditions align.
The market was buzzing with post-election hype, as investors diversified to mitigate risk. This has driven Bitcoin[BTC] to a new all-time high of $77K. AI tokens were also reaping rewards, posting impressive weekly gains, with many seeing double-digit increases.
However, Artificial Superintelligence Alliance [FET] remained consolidated despite a 15% gain this week. At press time, it was trading at $1.42, still below its target of $2.
Typically, a bull rally like the current one would position FET for a breakout from its four-month slump. However, its lagging performance has caught AMBCrypto’s attention.
Is FET set for a rebound?
Interestingly, FET has been on a downward trend since October. Despite Bitcoin’s 5% increase, closing the month near $72K, it had little to no impact on FET’s price movement.
One contributing factor has been the memecoin-led ‘supercycle’, with heavy liquidity flowing into meme-based tokens. DOGE, for instance, posted an impressive 11% daily gain.
Unlike previous cycles, this one is marked by more balanced capital allocation. Small-cap tokens are also seeing double-digit gains, a trend FET bulls may aim to leverage, according to CoinMarketCap data.
Since mid-June, FET bulls have made four attempts to break the $0.17 resistance, entering an accumulation phase, as shown in on-chain data.
About a month ago, investors withdrew approximately $11 million in FET tokens from exchanges. This helped keep FET within a stable range and mitigate potential pullbacks.
However, despite these aggressive buyouts, the anticipated impact on FET’s price has yet to materialize – suggesting a possible third-party influence that may be counteracting bullish momentum.
A short bias could derail the rally
Beyond the inconsistent order book activity from large holders, FET’s breakout hinges significantly on the derivative market, where there’s a marked bias toward shorts.
Since October, short-sellers have dominated the FET futures market, acting as a significant source of resistance.
However, there’s a twist: a large volume of short positions could quickly reverse if market momentum shifts against them. And there’s no better time than now.
As mentioned earlier, investors were diversifying their portfolios, with many focusing on small-cap tokens. This trend is notable, especially as BTC approaches a high-risk zone.
Read Artificial Superintelligence Alliance’s [FET] Price Prediction
2024–2025While spot traders targeting the dip is a bullish sign, it might not be enough to drive a breakout. For that to happen, large holders must avoid offloading their positions.
This would allow strong buying interest to trigger a short-squeeze and set the stage for a bullish rebound.
In other words, FET has the right ingredients for a potential breakout. With the RSI in a neutral phase, a few aligning conditions could push FET above its $0.17 resistance and set it on track toward a $2 target.