Analysis
GMT heads lower on the price charts after a rejection at this key level
Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice
- The lower timeframe structure flipped to bearish after GMT lost $0.4 to the bears
- Futures market participants had bearish sentiment as well
Bitcoin faced rejection at the $17.3k short-term resistance zone. It slipped below the $17k mark, and altcoins faced selling pressure in the past couple of days as well. STEPN token GMT has witnessed a strong bearish trend in recent months. The next couple of days were likely to see losses too.
Read STEPN’s [GMT] Price Prediction 2023-2024
The FOMC meetings on 13 and 14 December are expected to result in a rise of 0.5 percentage points. Pending economic data could sway things, and the announcement of a higher rate could see a bearish move across the crypto move.
Failure to flip range highs meant $0.38 was the next target
Highlighted in yellow, the GMT range extended from $0.345 to $0.417, The mid-range mark sat at $0.38. The token has traded within this range since 10 November. On higher timeframes, the $0.4 level has been a significant level. In recent hours of trading, this level was retested as resistance.Last week, GMT was unable to climb past the range highs once more. Therefore, traders were presented with a shorting opportunity. Bitcoin’s short-term weakness can send GMT lower to $0.38 as well.
Can a bounce be expected at that level? The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicated that sellers were dominant. The RSI retested neutral 50 as resistance around the same time the price tested $0.4 as resistance. Meanwhile the flat OBV showed a lack of buying pressure. Therefore, it was likely that GMT would slip beneath $0.38 and toward $0.36 and $0.345 in the coming days.
Open Interest and funding rate showed discouraged buyers
After 7 November, a large chunk of OI was wiped out. This has not been regained in the month since. The formation of the range combined with the flat OI suggested range-bound trading was likely to continue in the coming weeks.On 7 and 8 December, the OI and the price rallied, and bulls held out some hope that a breakout would materialize. It did not, and the past two days saw both OI and prices slump. This indicated discouraged bulls, and could see another wave of selling soon.