Is altcoin season here? Why Bitcoin’s $21B OI says not yet
Is Bitcoin still calling the shots, or has altcoin season finally arrived?
According to Glassnode’s Altcoin Cycle Signal, altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin [BTC] overall, and the altcoin season is finally here. Interestingly, the denominator effect, which is usually responsible for the apparent strength in altcoins, is also strong this time.
This indicator matters because altcoins can sometimes look stronger simply when Bitcoin’s price is falling or moving sideways. In reality, that doesn’t necessarily reflect increased demand for altcoins.
The crypto community still backs Bitcoin
However, the crypto community offered a different perspective on the current situation. According to an analyst, Bitcoin’s Open Interest (OI) was $21.11 billion, which is much higher than altcoins’ OI of $16.36 billion.
This indicates that traders are still concentrating on Bitcoin and that there may be space for more expansion in the altcoin market as a whole.
Historically, altcoin rallies have often peaked when altcoin OI surpasses Bitcoin’s OI. Remarking on which, the analyst added,
For now, it looks like alts still have room to run. But once Alts OI > Bitcoin OI, you need to start looking for the exit.
In fact, according to Zach Pandl, Head of Research of Grayscale, the current price of Bitcoin may offer an alluring long-term buying opportunity.
He said,
In my view, current Bitcoin $BTC price will prove to be good entry point or exceptional entry point, depending on three variables: Fed rate hikes, CLARITY Act, and Strategy’s balance sheet.
What’s ahead?
The analyst also notes that Bitcoin has held support around $58,000, suggesting selling pressure is fading and a market bottom may be forming. While Bitcoin is not at a “fire sale” valuation, it may have reached its cyclical bottom if these three catalysts continue to develop positively.
However, that broad rotation has not fully materialized yet, as Bitcoin continues to dominate capital inflows, limiting liquidity across the wider altcoin market.
Overall, the market remains in a Bitcoin‑led phase rather than a full altcoin cycle, as long as the altcoin index stays below 75.
Final Summary
- Bitcoin’s Open Interest was $21.11 billion, which is much higher than altcoins’ OI of $16.36 billion.
- Bitcoin’s current price may offer an alluring long-term buying opportunity, says analyst.
