Is Toncoin ready for a reversal after entering THIS ‘low-risk’ zone?
Toncoin's normalized risk has entered a low-risk area, signaling a buying zone.
- TON has surged over the past 24 hours by 5.26%.
- Toncoin entered a buying zone as normalized risk signaled a low-risk area.
Over the past three days, Toncoin [TON] has experienced strong upward momentum. Over this period, the altcoin has surged from a low of $4.7 to a high of $5.24.
In fact, at the time of writing, Toncoin was trading at $5.22. This marked a 5.26% increase over the past day.
Before these gains, TON had been on a downward trajectory, dipping 2.5% and 3.49% on weekly and monthly charts respectively.
The recent price pump has restored market optimism, with analysts predicting a potential upside reversal. Cryptoquant analyst Dark Fost cited the return of buying pressure as a key factor to watch.
Toncoin enters a buying zone
According to CryptoQuant, the normalized risk for TON has entered the buying zone. This has dropped below 0.2 signaling the entrants to a low-risk area.
Historically, normalized risk has played a vital role in shaping Toncoin’s price movement. Each time it reached the low-risk zone, the market tended to reverse in the mid-term.
Normalized risk has signaled low risk, and Toncoin’s Open Interest has shifted from a negative value of over -100 million to -15 million.
This move suggests that the previous bearish trend is slowly turning neutral or could even become positive in the short term.
Such a shift indicates that a positive momentum is returning to the market.
Is TON set for a sustained reversal?
As observed above, Toncoin has entered a low-risk area for buyers to reenter the market. This has allowed a recovery in buying activity, which in turn is actively pushing prices higher.
According to AMBCrypto’s analysis, TON was experiencing strong upward momentum as buying pressure intensified.
This rising buying pressure can be confirmed after a bullish cross-over emerged on Toncoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI).
A bullish crossover here implies that buyers are currently outpacing sellers and are taking control of the market.
Equally, the altcoin’s MACD is close to making a bullish crossover. If this crossover emerges here, it will validate and confirm a continuation of the uptrend.
Looking further, Toncoin’s Spot netflow has remained negative over the past week. This implies that there’s more outflow from exchanges than inflow.
Bullishness is even more prevalent among whales. Large holders’ netflow spiked from -12.67 million to 15.15 million. This shift signals increased capital inflow from whales as they accumulate the altcoin.
Read Toncoin’s [TON] Price Prediction 2025-26
Toncoin is experiencing strong upward momentum as buyers reenter the market. The altcoin is in a low-risk zone, turning investors’ sentiment bullish with expectations of rising prices.
If these market conditions prevail, TON could reclaim $5.83, strengthening it enough to attempt the $6 resistance level. Conversely, if buyers fail to hold the lead, the altcoin could drop to $5.03.
