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Litecoin [LTC] Technical Analysis: Bears retain long-term control of the LTC market

Jibin M George

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Litecoin [LTC] Technical Analysis: Bears retain long-term control of the LTC market
Source: Pixabay

Cryptocurrencies around the world have taken a tumble of late, especially since January 10, and the case of Litecoin [LTC] is no different. LTC has been going through a regular downslide since the heights of the previous year and despite some bullish resistance, is struggling to improve on its value against the US dollar which stands at $31.83 presently.

At the time of press, LTC retained its eighth-position in the list of world’s largest cryptocurrencies with a market capitalization of $1.914 billion. It also has a 24-hour trading volume of $602.28 million with ZB.com, contributing a significant 7.98% via the trading pair LTC/USDT.

1-hour

Source: TradingView

Source: TradingView

The uptrend for LTC in the one-hour time frame is struggling to hold and extends from $31.071 to $32.049. However, there is still some way to go before LTC overhauls the downtrend that extended from $33.375 to $31.179. Both the resistance and support points are holding steady at $32.479 and $30.897 respectively.

The Bollinger Bands are holding steady after it seemed that they were contracting. This suggests that volatility is holding steady for the time being.

The Aroon indicator has the Aroon up line cross and go over the Aroon down line and is thus, closer to 100, indicating that some bullish resistance has overpowered the predominant bearish trend of the market for the time being.

The Relative Strength Index indicator has the trading market neither being oversold or overbought, suggesting that both the buying and selling pressures have evened themselves out.

1-day

Source: TradingView

Source: TradingView

The long-term chart for LTC gives a more bleak reflection of the fortunes of LTC. The bearish market dominates trends as the coin is yet to reverse the huge downtrend that extended from $89.180 in mid-July last year to $40.155 last week. The uptrend extended from $29.304 to $40.079, but it was brief and has since dissipated.

Both the resistance and support points at $40.203 and $23.422 respectively, have also held firm against bullish and bearish market pressures.

The Parabolic SAR has all the markers above the candlesticks, indicating that the brief bullish resistance has been snuffed out and that the bears have retained overwhelming long-term control of the market.

The MACD line has the signal line hovering under the MACD line, indicating a bearish market. However, the histogram would suggest otherwise which means that gradually, the bearish trend is flattening thanks to bullish influence.

The Chaikin Money Flow indicates that the market is trending below the point of zero, suggesting that money is still trickling out of the market and that it remains a bearish market despite bullish efforts to the contrary.

Conclusion

The one-hour chart suggests a minor bullish trend to LTC’s prices, as is suggested by indicators such as Bollinger Bands, Aroon and RSI. On the other hand, the long-term, one-day chart suggests a bleaker market with the bears still retaining control over much of the Litecoin [LTC] market.





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Bitcoin and Ethereum Classic find themselves on opposite ends of the 51% attack spectrum

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Bitcoin and Ethereum Classic find themselves on opposite ends of the 51% attack spectrum
Source: Unsplash

Every revolutionary product comes with its own fallacy. However, to its internal metrics, in order for that product to remain adherent to the principle it hopes to expound, the cryptocurrency world is no less. Bitcoin [BTC] and other Proof-of-Work [PoW] cryptos have an in-built fallacy as well, the dreaded “51 percent attack.”

A recent study by cryptocurrency analytics firm LongHash, detailed the cryptocurrencies that are the closest to being subjected to the aforementioned attack.

The report looked at ten of the most significant PoW coins including, Bitcoin, Ethereum [ETH], Bitcoin Cash [BCH], Litecoin [LTC], Dash [DASH], Bitcoin SV [BSV], Zcash [ZEC], Monero [XMR], Ethereum Classic [ETC], and Bitcoin Gold [BTG].

Prior to detailing the study, Longhash listed out the two key points required to execute a 51 percent attack. First, a single mining pool/entity/individual would have to control over 50 percent of a network’s mining power. Second, the energy expenses related to the same, based on renting or sheer purchase of mining power.

Dividing the parameters of performance into two key parts, LongHash initially looked at the one-hour attack cost based on data from OnChainFX as on June 19, and consequently, the percentage of mining power available for rent on NiceHash. The matrix for an unsuccessful attack would be a high one-hour attack cost with low power availability, deeming the network “quite safe.”

Source: LongHash

Bitcoin took the top spot, with the report stating that there exists “very little power available to rent,” coupled with a “very high hourly attack cost.”

Traversing down the estimate cost Y-axis, several coins are scattered including, LTC, ETH, BCH, ZEC, BSV, DASH, and XMR, citing low power available via NiceHash. However, the estimated cost to rent the mining power is fairly low.

The report added,

“Most tokens, however, are clustered in the bottom-right corner of our chart, with low mining power availability and hourly attack costs north of $10,000, which makes them appear relatively safe.”

Moving horizontally further down the total mining power X-axis, BTG is the sole cryptocurrency exhibiting around 35 percent mining power availability on Nice Hash, with the lowest estimated cost to rent 51 percent of mining power for sixty minutes.

The biggest worry by far, was Ethereum Classic. The ETH hardfork had more than 80 percent of its mining power available on NiceHash, while the hourly attack was estimated to cost less than $10,000.

Earlier this year, the ETC network was the subject of a 51 percent attack, with several exchanges pausing ETC-related transactions in the process. The attack led to several cases of network double-spends and re-organisations totaling around $1.1 million or 219,500 ETC.





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