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MATIC clears July gains – when is recovery likely? 

MATIC cleared all the July gains but showed signs of reclaiming the lost ground. Is the fete feasible amidst weak BTC?

MATIC clears July gains - when is recovery likely? 

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

  • MATIC’s pullback hit July lows, clearing all recent gains.
  • But buying volumes increased over the weekend.

The bearish sentiment from mid-July still looms in early August. Over this period, Bitcoin’s [BTC] price action has weakened, exposing most altcoins to reverse July gains. In particular, Polygon [MATIC] shed over 25% after prices slumped from $0.89 to around $0.65 (July lows). 


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However, MATIC saw renewed interest after retesting the July lows over the weekend (5-6 August). Despite the little spike in MATIC demand, BTC struggled to hold on to $29.0k, and extra losses could expose MATIC bulls to risk. 

Will the 38.2% Fib level hold?

Source: MATIC/USDT on TradingView

A Fibonacci retracement tool was placed between the June low and July high. Based on the tool, the 50% Fib level ($0.70) failed to hold the pullback. So far, 38.2% Fib level ($0.655) has been retested twice as support. 

At the time of writing, MATIC bounced from the 38.2% Fib level. But the higher timeframe market structure was still bearish. However, with the weak BTC, a price rejection was feasible at the 50% Fib level ($0.70). 

Below the 38.2% Fib lies bullish order blocks on the daily and weekly charts. The daily order block has been honored once and could ease further price slump if the 38.2% Fib level support cracks. So, the 38.2% and 23.6% Fib levels are key interest levels for bulls. 

The Relative Strength Index and Chaikin Money Flow readings were below crucial thresholds – a negative at the time of writing. It implies weak buying pressure and capital inflows, suggesting the 50% Fib level could act as a roadblock unless BTC front a strong recovery above $29.5k. 

More buying volumes over the weekend

Source: CryptoMeter (MATIC Metrics on 6 August)

Despite the negative price chart readings, the overall MATIC’s metrics in the spot market registered a renewed demand over the weekend. 


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According to CryptoMeter, the buy volume surpassed the sell volume at the time of writing. But the overall volume dip by over 40% could complicate further advance by bulls. 

Nevertheless, the futures market also registered an uptick in demand over the weekend. According to Coinalyze, the Open Interest rates jumped from $122 million to over $127 million as CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) surged. 

Source: Coinalyze
Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Benjamin Njiri

Journalist

Benjamin Njiri is a Crypto Analyst and Reporter at AMBCrypto, specializing in technical analysis and emerging market trends. With a background in Telecoms engineering and power systems, he applies data analysis to filter market noise and decode on-chain data. His work delivers clear, data-driven insights that help readers navigate crypto markets with confidence.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.