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New analysis finds Bitcoin to be ‘insanely bullish’ as…

2min Read

Bitcoin entered a low volatility phase, hitting levels which have historically shown to be preceding historic bull runs of 2017 and 2021.

New analysis finds Bitcoin to be "insanely bullish" as...

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  • BTC exchange inflows have gradually slowed since the initial rush of the rally.
  • Long-term holders were selling BTC at better margins as compared to short-term holders.

The crypto market’s excitement has skyrocketed amid a flurry of applications for a spot Bitcoin [BTC] ETF. Interest shown by TradFi giants has rekindled hopes of a BTC bull run among market participants.

Is your portfolio green? Check out the Bitcoin Profit Calculator

Amidst this fervor, a technical analyst CryptoCon examined a key indicator and came up with a positive prediction. The analyst highlighted the trajectory of Bollinger Band Width, an indicator commonly used to visualize periods of high and low volatility.

As per the indicator, BTC entered a low volatility zone, hitting levels which have historically shown to be preceding historic bull runs of 2017 and 2021. The analyst enthusiastically remarked,

“When volatility gets low in a bull market, it’s insanely bullish.”

Source: CryptoCon

Are holders in profit?

Bitcoin’s price has rallied 13% since the news of BlackRock’s filing for spot ETF was made public, as per CoinMarketCap. In the process, it also topped $31,000, the highest level in more than a year.

Bitcoin’s Long Term Holder SOPR, a measure of the profit margins of seasoned investors of the king coin, revealed that most of these holders were selling BTC at profits. According to CryptoQuant, the SOPR value was 1.29%, indicating that BTC could in the early phases of a bull cycle.

Source: CryptoQuant

On the other hand, the profit margins of short-term holders (STH) of BTC declined significantly. After soaring to 3.4% on the day the rally began, the margins have trended downwards. This was in sharp contrast to the bullish phase of March when STH were making profits of 7.6% on average.

Source: CryptoQuant

Depleting exchange supply

Despite the profit potential, BTC exchange inflows have gradually slowed since the initial rush of the rally. Spikes in this metric imply increased selling pressure. The accumulation phase therefore meant that holders were bracing themselves for a bull run, in consonance with the aforementioned prediction made by CryptoCon.

Source: CryptoQuant

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2023-24

Whales are not yet interested

Large addresses also resisted the temptation and expressed confidence in the long-term growth prospects of Bitcoin. The exchange Whale Ratio, which is the relative size of the top 10 inflow transactions to total inflows, showed that whale interaction dipped considerably over the past week.

Source: CryptoQuant


Saman Waris works as a News Editor at AMBCrypto. She has always been fascinated by how the tides of finance and technology shape communities across demographics. Cryptocurrencies are of particular interest to Saman, with much of her writing centered around understanding how ideas like Momentum and Greater Fool theories apply to altcoins, specifically, memecoins. A graduate in history, Saman worked the sports beat before diving into crypto. Prior to joining AMBCrypto 2 years ago, Saman was a News Editor at Sportskeeda. This was preceded by her stint as Editor-in-Chief at EssentiallySports.
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