- Bitcoin sees strong institutional interest and regulatory momentum driving its 2024 surge.
- Nvidia leads AI innovation and faces geopolitical risks, continuing its strong growth in 2024.
As we approach 2025, two of the most talked-about investment assets – Bitcoin [BTC] and Nvidia – are capturing the attention of both retail and institutional investors.
While Bitcoin has established itself as a leading digital asset and store of value, Nvidia has become a powerhouse in the tech sector, driving innovations in gaming, AI, and data centers.
Despite their differences, both assets have experienced significant volatility, yet their growth potential and future prospects remain intriguing. In this article, we’ll compare these two assets head-to-head as we look toward 2025.
Bitcoin and Nvidia soar, outpacing broader markets
In 2024, both Bitcoin and Nvidia outpaced the broader market, significantly outperforming the S&P 500’s 27% gain.
Nvidia surged by 179.4%, driven by its dominance in AI, data centers, and semiconductor technologies, with demand for GPUs continuing to outstrip supply.
Bitcoin, up 139.8%, experienced two growth waves: one following the approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs and another after President-elect Trump’s crypto-friendly stance, including appointing a crypto-supportive SEC head.
This shift toward friendlier regulation, combined with Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comparison of Bitcoin to gold, boosted investor confidence.
Source: Y Charts
Bitcoin’s rise is also fueled by expectations of regulatory support, such as potential capital gains tax cuts and the creation of a Bitcoin reserve.
Nvidia’s growth remains solid, with its leading role in AI hardware positioning it well for 2025, despite risks like a potential AI bubble. Both assets offer strong potential but face unique risks and challenges moving forward.
Price performance and historical returns
Bitcoin and Nvidia have delivered outsized returns over the past decade, albeit with starkly different trajectories. Bitcoin, despite its extreme volatility, has averaged over 70% annualized returns since inception, driven by cycles of adoption, halvings, and macroeconomic catalysts.
Nvidia has compounded at 49% annually over the past 10 years, benefiting from exponential growth in AI, gaming, and cloud infrastructure.
While Bitcoin thrives on speculative cycles and scarcity-driven demand, Nvidia’s returns stem from sustained revenue growth and market dominance.
However, both assets share a common theme: outperforming traditional benchmarks while navigating substantial volatility and macroeconomic risks.
Navigating growth catalysts and emerging risks
As we move into 2025, Bitcoin’s momentum is anchored by post-halving supply constraints and fresh institutional inflows. November data revealed record capital allocations into Bitcoin spot ETFs, signaling heightened demand from pension funds and endowments.
Additionally, Trump’s administration is advancing a Bitcoin Reserve Act, positioning BTC as a macroeconomic hedge amid rising geopolitical tensions.
Nvidia, meanwhile, projects stronger Q4 results, with November data showing data center revenues up 25% quarter-over-quarter. Growth in AI-driven industries like healthcare and autonomous driving continues to outpace expectations.
However, increasing chip export restrictions to China and competitive gains by AMD remain notable risks.
Risk assessments
Bitcoin faces heightened volatility as its recent rally attracts speculative leverage. November 2024 data flagged a 30% surge in futures open interest, increasing liquidation risks during market corrections.
Additionally, Trump’s Bitcoin Reserve Act could face congressional resistance, delaying its implementation and dampening investor sentiment. Regulatory clarity remains fragile, with concerns over anti-money laundering enforcement still unresolved.
Read Bitcoin [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-2025
For Nvidia, rising geopolitical tensions pose a substantial risk. The Biden administration’s tightened export controls on high-performance chips to China threaten 20% of Nvidia’s data center revenues, as per its November earnings guidance.
Furthermore, AMD’s advancements in AI GPUs, including the MI300 series, could erode Nvidia’s market dominance faster than anticipated.
