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Only ‘half-way to the top’ Bitcoin can hit $200K by 2025-end – Analyst

Here's why BTC has growth potential that could see it double its value by end-2025.

Only 'half-way to the top' Bitcoin can hit $200K by 2025-end - Analyst
  • Bitcoin could double its value and hit $200k by the end of the year
  • Technical and on-chain indicators pointed to ample room for growth

Despite being temporarily stuck in the $90k-$100k range, Bitcoin [BTC] could double its value to $200k by end-2025. This was a projection made by a pseudonymous market analyst – Stockmoney Lizards. 

Part of his analysis read

“We are only half-way to the top…We have not reached the top of the channel yet; no RSI-based top signal has been given either and price is still well above the blue channel after a short retest. Year-end target $200k.”

Bitcoin
Source: X

The attached chart highlighted historical RSI (red/green arrows) levels, indicating overbought (bearish reversal) and oversold (bullish reversal) conditions correlated to previous BTC cycle tops/bottoms). 

Based on the same, the RSI hadn’t flagged another bearish reversal (red) signal – A sign that maybe, BTC is still far from topping out.  

More room for growth?

By extension, the aforementioned analysis implied that Bitcoin was undervalued at its press time level. Another valuation model, the True MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, confirmed this idea. 

Historically, a True MVRV value of 2 marks local tops while a reading of 4 and above flags cycle tops.

In March and December 2024, BTC’s local tops coincided with an MVRV of 2. At press time, the MVRV had declined to 1.7, suggesting enough growth room for BTC on the price charts. 

Bitcoin
Source: CryptoQuant

Similarly, the 200-week MA (moving average), typical for marking the BTC cycle bottom, jumped to $43k. Simply put, the next bear phase could bottom above $40k before triggering another bull run phase. 

Bitcoin
Source: X

Worth pointing out, however, that the king coin still faces some short-term risks. In fact, according to crypto trading firm QCP Capital, Donald Trump’s presidential inauguration and slow Fed rate cut path expectations could expose BTC to gappy moves. 

Part of its daily market commentary shared on Telegram read

“Expect heightened volatility before and after the inauguration as markets digest and adjust to a new term under Trump. We maintain cautious of the downside as the $90k level in BTC has been tested numerous times.”

Disclaimer: AMBCrypto's content is meant to be informational in nature and should not be interpreted as investment advice. Trading, buying or selling cryptocurrencies should be considered a high-risk investment and every reader is advised to do their own research before making any decisions.

Benjamin Njiri

Journalist

Benjamin Njiri is a Crypto Analyst and Reporter at AMBCrypto, specializing in technical analysis and emerging market trends. With a background in Telecoms engineering and power systems, he applies data analysis to filter market noise and decode on-chain data. His work delivers clear, data-driven insights that help readers navigate crypto markets with confidence.

AMBCrypto was founded in 2018 with a mission to simplify and bring the latest blockchain and cryptocurrency news to our readers. We have quickly grown into the digital news source for an emerging generation of cryptocurrency enthusiasts, reaching more than a million readers on a monthly basis, across the globe.