PancakeSwap – $11 target looms after CAKE’s 78% weekly rally

Key Takeaways 

What’s driving PancakeSwap’s recent rally?

The launch of CAKE.PAD burned 35.9 million tokens, cutting supply and fueling a 78% weekly gain.

Where could CAKE head next?

A breakout above $4.40 may open the path toward $11, supported by rising DEX Volume and deflation momentum.

PancakeSwap [CAKE] continued its bullish charge, rising by over 14% in the last 24 hours and posting 78% weekly gains. The surge mirrored the growing strength of the Binance Smart Chain [BSC] ecosystem.

Why did CAKE surge over the week?

PancakeSwap’s surge has been driven mainly by the launch of CAKE.PAD, which replaced its previous model, IFO. The platform now burns all participation fees, directly reducing the total circulating supply.

Over the past week, about 9% of the total supply, representing 35.96 million CAKE, had been burned. The total burns reached 37.21 CAKE, taking the year-to-date (YTD) deflation rate to 5.57%.

On top of that, Social Sentiment reached its highest level in more than a year.

LunarCrush recorded 112,139 mentions, down slightly from the weekly high of 116K, but still showing a 74% weekly and 15% daily uptick in activity.

DEX volume frenzy 

The collaboration between PancakeSwap and Coinbase’s Base chain has also fueled this surge. Weekly DEX Volume on BSC hit $11.56 billion, while Base contributed $1.17 billion, according to DeFiLlama.

On the protocol front, PancakeSwap’s AMM V3 dominated with $11.88 billion in trades—far ahead of competitors that stayed near $1 billion or lower.

The memecoin season on BNB has attracted significant liquidity to the protocol. Binance founder CZ has publicly supported building on the BNB Chain, helping transform it from a simple meme-trading platform into a broader ecosystem.

CZ acknowledged the trend, stating:

“#BNB meme szn.”

With that in mind, the price looked promising despite bears posing a threat of breakdown.

Can CAKE sustain this breakout?

CAKE has broken above a descending trendline that capped its price since the 2021 highs on the weekly chart. This move followed a year-long consolidation within a triangle, signaling a potential trend reversal.

Post-breakout, the token met resistance near $4.40, a zone tested several times since 2023.

A decisive close above this level could open the path toward $11, CAKE’s next liquidity pocket, while rejection may push the price back to the $3.20–$2.90 range.

The broader structure remains constructive, with higher lows forming and bullish momentum strengthening. Still, the $4.40 resistance will determine whether this breakout evolves into a sustained uptrend or stalls again.