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Analysis

Polygon [MATIC] retraces into a daily bullish order block but…

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Polygon bulls fought tooth and nail to defend the $0.95-$1 zone of support, but the indicators showed that bears continued to have the upper hand.
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Polygon [MATIC] retraces into a daily bullish order block but...
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Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

  • The daily market structure of MATIC was bearish.
  • The lack of a strong reaction from the $1 area meant demand for MATIC was weak.

On 15 April, the momentum of MATIC on the price charts appeared to flip bullish, but this was reversed just a few days later. Thereafter the price dropped from $1.18 to $0.95 on 26 April. Since then, neither the bulls nor the bears were able to force a strong move for MATIC.

Read Polygon’s [MATIC] Price Prediction 2023-24

While the lower timeframe charts showed a range formation just beneath the $1 level, the bearish pressure seen on the higher timeframe charts could eventually force another move downward for MATIC.

The market structure was bearish and the bulls could be exhausted

Polygon [MATIC] retraces into a daily bullish order block but...

Source: MATIC/USDT on TradingView

MATIC formed a bullish order block (cyan) on the daily timeframe at the $0.93-$1.02 region on 18 January. At that time, this minor dip was followed by a strong move up to $1.5. In early March, a retest of this demand zone saw MATIC bounce to reach the $1.24 resistance.

Thereafter, the bulls were forced to retreat, but it highlighted the importance of this region on the price charts. It has confluence with the support level at $0.94 as well as the psychologically important $1 level.

In late April, the losses of MATIC were not staunched at $1. The RSI was at 41 to show bearish momentum. The CMF was below -0.05 over the past week as well. This showed strong capital flow out of the Polygon market.

Beneath $0.94, the next support levels to watch out for are $0.837 and $0.77.

How much are 1, 10, or 100 MATIC worth today?

Active address count began to drop amidst rising sell pressure

Polygon [MATIC] retraces into a daily bullish order block but...

Source: Santiment

The MVRV ratio took a sharp dive on 19 April, when MATIC fell from $1.2 to reach $0.95 a week later. This signified MATIC as an undervalued asset, but as we have already seen, the buyers were not interested.

The sharp spike in dormant circulation was also a cause for concern for the MATIC bulls, as it could signal a strong wave of selling around the corner. In late March and up to mid-April, the 30-day active addresses were rising, but this began to change over the past two weeks. It was another sign of decreased usage and hence demand for the native token of Polygon.

 

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Akashnath Sumukar works as a Senior Journalist at AMBCrypto. Based in Chennai, India, he has been an avid follower of the cryptocurrency market since Bitcoin’s boom and bust cycle of 2017. A graduate in Chemical Engineering, he is an expert in technical analysis. In fact, Akashnath has a particular interest in reading price charts and predicting how an asset will move over the short and long term. A self-taught trader and as someone who holds cryptos himself, he is always on the lookout for the next opportunity he can possibly capitalize on, while also educating his audience.
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