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Solana: Key metrics have the answer why SOL may never break its ATH

2min Read

Solana’s inability to break its ATH coupled with high inflation rate and low real trading volume suggests potential future crashes.

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  • Venture capitals continue to inflate supply of SOL.
  • Solana’s weak financial statement raises questions on SOL’s long-term dynamics.

Solana [SOL] may never break its all-time high of $260 which it hit in November, 2021. Investors buying more SOL fear losing their investment as venture capitals continue to inflate the supply by printing new tokens. 

The circulating supply when SOL hit ATH was 301 million, but three years later, 161 million more tokens have been added. 

Since August 2023, 60 million SOL have been added, resulting in a 15% annual inflation rate. 

With real trading volume at its lowest in five years according to Messari metrics, Solana is likely to crash, as indicated by previous AMBCrypto research.

Source: Messari

Negative earnings plunge Solana deep into the red

Moreover, market analyst Duo Nine noted on X, formerly Twitter, that Solana has incurred a net loss of $2.53 billion over the past four quarters according to data from Bankless, erasing its revenue and plunging into the abyss. 

This financial strain emphasizes on the unsustainable nature of Solana’s current economic model. 

Duo Nine suggested that SOL may never break its all-time high due to a high inflation rate. 

Further investments are increasingly risky as the mounting losses and inflationary pressures could jeopardize Solana’s long-term viability and market performance.

Source: Bankless

SOL price after global M2 money supply hit ATH suggests bearish sentiment

The global M2 money supply has reached a record high, flooding the economy with money as the TradingView chart denotes. 

This increased liquidity generally boosts crypto prices as the value of money drops. 

Despite this trend, Solana (SOL) did not hit new all-time highs like Bitcoin (BTC). This gap suggests SOL is set for significant market decline.

While BTC thrived with the extra money, SOL’s failure to rise similarly points to possible problems or market conditions that could limit its growth compared to other cryptocurrencies.

Source: TradingView

All-time BTC v SOL chart comparison

Further the charts provide objective insights, showing that Solana likely peaked this cycle while many remain unaware. 

Bitcoin hit a new all-time high, but Solana didn’t surpass its previous peak as Walletinvestor.com comparison chart indicated. 

This difference highlights Solana’s struggles despite the market’s overall bullish trend. 


Realistic or not, here’s SOL’s market cap in BTC’s terms


Bitcoin’s rise emphasizes its dominance, while Solana’s failure to reach new heights suggests underlying issues or lower demand. 

Investors should heed the charts, as Solana’s performance indicates it may not match Bitcoin’s success in the current cycle.

Source: walletinvestor.com

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Lennox Gitonga is a Financial Market and On-Chain Analyst at AMBCrypto, bringing the rigor of traditional financial analysis to the digital asset space. With a Bachelor of Commerce in Finance, he possesses a strong academic foundation in market principles and investment analysis. His expertise is sharpened by hands-on experience as a professional equities trader and financial analyst, where he honed his skills in analyzing complex market structures. Since transitioning his focus to cryptocurrency in 2019, Lennox has applied this disciplined approach to the blockchain sector. He specializes in providing in-depth analysis on both a technical and on-chain level, interpreting everything from price action and chart patterns to network health and transactional data. At AMBCrypto, Lennox is dedicated to translating this multifaceted data into clear, actionable insights. His work empowers readers by making sophisticated market analysis accessible, helping them understand the key drivers behind cryptocurrency valuations and trends.
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