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Solana prices dive 42% within a week, will there be a quick recovery

2min Read

Even though Solana has fallen to a long-term support level, buyers banking on a strong bounce to $18 are exposing themselves to a huge risk.2

Solana prices dive 42% within a week, will there be a quick recovery
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Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

  • Solana registered large losses in the market in recent days.
  • The lower timeframes showed extreme volatility and risk-averse traders can stay away from SOL in the coming days.

Another day, another market-wide nuke. Welcome to the crypto space, where a 25% price drop genuinely represents a long-term buying opportunity. The argument behind a Solana recovery is the degree of decentralization of the network. Development activity was at six-month highs as well, according to Santiment data.


Realistic or not, here’s SOL’s market cap in BTC terms


Yet, the technical structure was bleak for the bulls on the higher timeframes. Solana has been in a lower timeframe downtrend since late April. Can the bulls defend the support zone at $14.8 or will further bad news drag the market lower?

November’s resistance can serve as support for SOL- but it could be a temporary respite

Solana prices take a massive turn southward but is the worst of it over?

Source: SOL/USDT on TradingView

After huge news like the SEC branding SOL a security, the market is likely to take a while to assess the true damage done. If the market concludes that the initial sell-off was an overreaction, prices will eventually climb higher.

This was a possibility, but the why and how of market movement are beyond technical analysis. From a technical standpoint, we find that the $13.8-$15.3 zone was a strong resistance back in November, during the FTX implosion. It was breached during the early 2023 rally.

Hence, it was likely to act as support on the way down. Yet it was still highly likely that Solana could test the $10.56 level and possibly drop to 1-digit prices like December 2022. The RSI and OBV showed intense bearish pressure.

The Fibonacci retracement levels highlighted $16.4, $17.55, and $18.67 as places where a Solana bounce could end. The $16 level represented a significant low from March, and could be retested before another downward move.

Long liquidations fuel downward surge

Solana prices take a massive turn southward but is the worst of it over?

Source: Coinglass

Coinglass liquidation data showed that the previous 24 hours saw liquidation of $15.03 million worth of positions. $11.95 million worth of positions were long, highlighting that the buyers faced most of the pain in recent hours, as expected.

Across the market, this figure stood at $385.88 million in both directions, which could rise further. After such a steep fall, it was possible that prices bounced back quite a distance without much demand.


Is your portfolio green? Check the Solana Profit Calculator


Moreover, it was a weekend, which meant the liquidity was likely lower. Hence, late bears must be extremely cautious. The move downward has likely occurred and passed, and sellers can wait for a bounce to the significant former support levels.

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Akashnath S is a Senior Journalist and Technical Analysis expert at AMBCrypto. He specializes in dissecting price action, identifying key market trends through advanced chart patterns, and forecasting both short-term and long-term asset trajectories. His distinct analytical method is grounded in his academic training as a Chemical Engineer. This background provides him with a systematic, process-oriented approach to market data, enabling him to analyze the complex dynamics of financial markets with precision and objectivity. Having actively covered the cryptocurrency space since the landmark 2017 market cycle, Akashnath possesses years of experience navigating both bull and bear markets. This seasoned perspective is critical to his insightful reporting on market volatility and evolution. As an active market participant, Akashnath enhances his analysis with crucial, hands-on experience. This practical application of his technical skills ensures his insights are not merely theoretical, but are also relevant and actionable for an audience looking to understand and navigate trading opportunities. He is dedicated to educating readers on the nuances of technical analysis, empowering them with the knowledge to make more informed financial decisions.
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