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Solana: Top reasons why SOL could be on the path to recovery

3min Read

SOL is showing signs of a major recovery as the market skews bullish, though its next move remains uncertain.

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  • Transaction activity on the SOL network surged over the past 24 hours, suggesting increased interest.
  • Market sentiment in both the spot and derivatives markets is gradually shifting in favor of a bullish outlook.

Solana [SOL]  has struggled after hitting its all-time high of $264.39. Over the past month, it has dropped by 13.20%, erasing its previous gains. On the daily chart, the asset is down 2.93%, trading at $209.44 at press time.

AMBCrypto observed that increased trader activity could indicate selling pressure, but the overall sentiment suggests a possible bullish reversal.

Increased trading activity: What does it mean for SOL?

According to Artemis data, daily transactions on the SOL network have surged, with the number nearing 67 million—levels not seen in recent months.

A spike in transaction activity can signal either positive or negative momentum for an asset, often depending on price movement.

Source: X

In SOL’s case, the price has declined by 2.93%, suggesting that the increased transactions may indicate selling pressure. The asset recently hit a new weekly low, trading at $199.39.

However, this decline has pushed SOL into a support zone on the weekly chart—a level historically associated with strong buying interest. This support could drive a potential price rebound in the near term.

Source: Trading View

SOL outflows surge as spot conviction changes

A high outflow of SOL from exchanges suggests that spot traders are moving their assets to wallets which means there’s a potential long-term commitment despite the recent market downturn.

Typically, spot traders deposit more assets into exchanges during such conditions. However, the current trend of withdrawals points to heightened bullish sentiment.

As of now, the Exchange Netflow is heavily negative, with over $264 million worth of SOL moved out of exchanges in the last 96 hours. Within the past 24 hours alone, $46.26 million worth of SOL has been withdrawn, contributing to market strength from a further drop.

Source: Coinglass

In addition, the market’s funding rate remains positive at 0.0057%, indicating that bullish long traders are paying a periodic fee to maintain balance between spot and futures market prices.

If this trend of rising withdrawals and positive funding rates continues, SOL could be on track to reach new price highs.

Long liquidations set the stage for a bullish shift

The past 24 hours have seen massive long liquidations in the market, with $21.35 million lost. This occurs when the price of an asset moves downward, contrary to the upward bets placed by long traders, resulting in massive losses.

While this is bearish, a gradual shift is emerging on lower time frames, reflecting a change in trader sentiment.


Is your portfolio green? Check out the SOL Profit Calculator


Over the past 4 hours, short liquidations have exceeded $936,150 as opposed to long liquidation below $150,000. This indicates that traders are turning bullish, suggesting the asset could trend higher.

Source: Coinglass

Additionally, Open Interest has grown by 0.62% in the same period, now totaling $3.52 billion. This increase points to bullish momentum, as the majority of unsettled derivative contracts are now positioned in favor of upward price movement.

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Olayiwola Dolapo is a Crypto Research Analyst at AMBCrypto, driven by a mission to make the digital asset space more transparent and understandable for all. His journey was catalyzed by an early experience in the market that underscored the importance of deep, foundational knowledge—a principle that now guides his professional work. His expertise is grounded in a Bachelor's degree in Chemistry. However, he also has a strong interest in economics which provides him with a strong framework for analyzing market behavior and the financial principles of blockchain technology. He combines this economic perspective with a specialization in technical analysis and on-chain data interpretation. This dual approach allows him to dissect price trends while also evaluating the underlying health and activity of a network. At AMBCrypto, Dolapo is dedicated to producing data-driven, educational content. He meticulously uses on-chain tools and technical charting to identify and explain emerging opportunities, helping readers move beyond hype and make decisions based on robust analysis. His work is a testament to his commitment to helping others navigate the complexities of the crypto market with clarity and confidence.
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