TAO price touches $205, but weak inflows make breakout uncertain
Bittensor’s TAO is attracting leveraged positions near $200, while spot indicators continue to show limited conviction.
Bittensor [TAO] briefly crossed $205 on August 12 before retreating towards $200, extending its recovery from the August lows without confirming a breakout.
Futures open interest approaching $300m implies traders are already building positions, but capital flowing out and a weak trend mean the move has not attained conviction levels and is yet to broaden.
TAO crypto struggles above $200
TAO was trading at around $199.65, down 0.95% after reaching $205.56 earlier today.
The daily rally briefly carried the price above $203.75, but it could not stay there. Even after the price fell, however, TAO remained above $195.01, leaving the recovery intact for now.
But buyers still need a daily close above the $204–$206 area, and if they get it, $220 would become the next level on the chart.
Below the current price, $195 is doing most of the work. Losing that level would put TAO back under the middle Bollinger Band, with the lower band at $186.27 offering the next reference.
Other indicators also did not paint a positive picture, with the Chaikin Money Flow [CMF] at -0.06, showing that capital flows remained slightly negative.
The strength of the trend was also limited, with the Average Directional Index [ADX] at 19.40, with readings in the 20s and 30s normally associated with a more established trend.
Bittensor Open Interest approaches $300M
Data from CoinGlass showed TAO futures open interest was approaching $300 million as at August 12.
Rising open interest shows that traders are adding positions but does not say whether those positions are predominantly bullish or bearish.
Funding shows something more interesting about this setup. TAO’s open-interest-weighted funding rate was near 0.006%, indicating that long-position holders were paying shorts.
That could make the next move sharper. Above the range, attention would turn to $220; below it, $186 remains the main downside level.
Final Summary
- TAO briefly cleared $205, but weak CMF and an ADX reading below 20 left the breakout unconfirmed.
- Open interest is nearing $300 million, increasing the chance of a larger move once TAO leaves the $195–$205 area.
