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Tether’s [USDT] ‘arbitrage opportunities’ increased by 5% on Kraken following Bitfinex fiasco




Source: Pixabay

As Tether/Bitfinex controversy continues to brew, the oldest stablecoin, a new twist to the tale brings the US-based cryptocurrency exchange, Kraken into the pot. According to the recent Diar report, Tether reserves dropped by 26%, following which, the stablecoin’s “arbitrage opportunities” increased by 5% on one of the leading exchange, Kraken.

Price arbitrage means the price irregularity of the same asset across different exchange platforms. The difference in the price of the asset gives traders the opportunity to purchase the asset on the exchange trading at a lower price and selling it off on a platform with a higher trading price.

For traditional assets, arbitrage is quite common, but highly uncommon in case of stablecoins. Stablecoins are pegged with the Dollar. Hence, the asset should be stable and priced at $1, neither exceeding nor falling below the value of $1.

The New York Attorney General revealed that the exchange lost $850 million and used Tether to cover up the same. Post the Bitfinex-Tether episode that led to a brief market crash, a significant spread in the prices of Bitcoin was recorded on Bitfinex, as opposed to other exchanges.

An increasing spread on Kraken’s trading platform was witnessed in the report published by Diar which contradicted the basis of “stablecoin.”

Source: Diar

On 25th April, the day the news broke out, a difference of $58 per BTC in Kraken questioned the true value of USDT on its platform. This spread eventually increased to $268 per BTC on 5th May. From the above chart, a significantly increasing spread was noticed. As per the report, arbitrage opportunities reached 5% on Kraken.

The report also mentioned Tether to be “contentious” as the stablecoin has been embroiled in controversies including allegations of Fractional Banking and avoiding audits which would confirm that the stablecoin was backed by an appropriate amount of USD, giving rise to speculations that Tether might not be completely backed by fiat.

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JP Morgan: Big banks stand corrected as Bitcoin rally past intrinsic value; admits current surge mirrors 2017 rise




JP Morgan: Big bank stands corrected at Bitcoin rally past intrinsic value; admits current surge mirrors 2017 rise
Source: Pixabay

Big banks are riding a FOMO wave as the Bitcoin bull-run is just beginning. Spearheaded by the changing colors of JP Morgan, which recently forayed into the digital assets world, the banking elite is now suggesting that their initial stance on Bitcoin and the larger cryptocurrency world might have been off.

A recent chart by JP Morgan shows the current BTC price veer upwards chiding the “intrinsic value” the big bank placed on the virtual currency.

Based on the article by Bloomberg, the price of the coin would reverse towards the end of December 2018 and then make marginal gains until May 2019, all under the $5,000 mark. In reality, the BTC price, after dropping to “rock bottom” at just above $3,100 in early December 2018, edged upwards.

Several spurts of growth were seen in early January and February, prior to a massive April ascendance. On April 2, Bitcoin did away with the bank’s value mode and amassed a daily gain of over 15 percent, fuelling its current rise. Breaking the $5,000 ceiling in the process, which was pegged to remain intact well into May 2019, the king coin is now almost $3,000 ahead of the mark and is not looking to stop.

Source: Bloomberg

It should be noted that JP Morgan’s “intrinsic value” is calculated on the basis of the marginal cost of production, electricity prices, and hash rates. This model does not take into account, at least on absolute terms, the anticipatory effect of the 2020 halving, which, according to a slew of analysts is the behind the price rise.

Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, the MD in the Global Market Strategy team at JP Morgan stated that Bitcoin breaking through its “intrinsic value” showed signs of mirroring its 2017 bull run. He evidenced this move by comparing the pre-December 2017 slump to the one seen prior to the current bullish swing.

The analyst added:

“Over the past few days, the actual price has moved sharply over marginal cost. This divergence between actual and intrinsic values carries some echoes of the spike higher in late 2017, and at the time this divergence was resolved mostly by a reduction in actual prices.”

With the analyst admitting that the imparting of an “intrinsic or fair value” to a cryptocurrency, much less a volatile one like Bitcoin, is a “challenging” ordeal, a mere JP Morgan acknowledgement of a Bitcoin bull-run is a remarkable sign for the digital assets industry, especially given the bank’s and its CEO Jamie Dimon’s Bitcoin-bashing in the past.

Mati Greenspan, senior market analyst at eToro attested to the same, adding a key point that JP Morgan failed to take into account in their calculation. He stated:

“Great to see JPM finally admitting that Bitcoin has intrinsic value.
Now wait till they understand that miners who run a surplus tend to begin hording.”

Despite Bitcoin slumping at press time, recording a 1.23 percent decline against the dollar, the prospects look positive. After recording a massive gain on 19 May, briefly surging past $8,000 for the second time in a week, Bitcoin created a High-Low [HL] at $7,100, which many analysts look at with glee.

This HL immediately following last week’s pull-back caused due to post-Consensus bears, a Bitstamp sell-order and market correction showed the king coin’s bullish persistence and can even be a foundation for a $9,000 ascendance, defying any “intrinsic value” expectations.

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