The cryptocurrency market opened today, November 9, to almost all the cryptocurrencies seeing red. Popular cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin [BTC], Ethereum [ETH] and Tron [TRX] all witnessed a price bleed after a few days of price hikes. At the time of writing, there was a systematic fall across the cryptocurrency spectrum.
The Tron one-hour graph shows the cryptocurrency forming a triangle with the uptrend and downtrend acting as the slopes. The price uptrend saw the price rise from $0.0232 to $0.0247 while the downtrend saw Tron falling from $0.0248 to $0.023. The immediate resistance was holding at $0.0248, while the support has been maintaining at $0.0215.
The Parabolic SAR points to the price dropping which is evidenced by the markers being above the candles. This trend has been persistent for more than 24-hours.
The Chaikin Money Flow indicator shows the graph right at the axis, which still puts the cryptocurrency in the bullish zone. The fall from the top of the graph also indicates the money going out of the market due to the change in investor sentiments.
The Tron one-day graph shows the coin suffering an acute downtrend which has bought the price down from $0.0571 to $0.0231. The support for the cryptocurrency has been holding at $0.0182.
The Bollinger band shows the dominant sideways movement as indicated by the strict pipe like the formation of the upper band and the lower band. Compared to the earlier breakouts, the currency Bollinger clouds have significantly reduced in size.
The Awesome Oscillator has shown a drastic reduction in the market momentum with the graph almost negligible now. The immediate green markers point to a hike in the momentum.
The above-mentioned indicators majorly point to the current sideways price movement persisting. The Chaikin Money Flow indicators, on the other hand, shows a positive change in the investor sentiments.
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Bitcoin [BTC] Halving: CoinMetrics pegs top-crypto to rise above $20,000 peak in late-2021
With a year left for the highly anticipated Bitcoin [BTC] halving, many expect the price of the top-cryptocurrency to surge prior to May 2020. Analysts have previously opined that three months to one year before the halving does the price of the cryptocurrency move up.
A new piece of research from the cryptocurrency analytics firm, CoinMetrics, suggested that in addition to the precursor pump, Bitcoin [BTC] will reach its “local peak” 18 months after the halving.
CoinMetrics charts the price of the top coin, divided based on the 2012 and 2016 halving, showing a noticeable trend. A little more than a year after the first halving when the 210,001 block was mined, the price of Bitcoin surged above $1,000 for the first time, in December 2013 to be precise.
Next, During the July 2016 halving, the coin was trading at just above $600 and within the suggested period of 18 months, the top virtual currency saw its second peak. On 17 December, the coin reached a never-before-seen high of over $19,700 as the Chicago Futures exchanges embraced the digital assets market.
With the price of Bitcoin over $5,000 for the first time in over four months, and the precursor halving bulls on the horizon, the price could surge. Furthermore, based on CoinMetrics’ inference, Bitcoin will see its third peak, higher than $20,000, by the close of 2021, eighteen months after the May 2020 halving.
The halving protocol was placed in the original whitepaper to thwart inflationary pressure that would arise with more blocks mined and more Bitcoins supplied. Historical charts prove that this objective has been adhered to, with a constant drop in the inflation rate with the two previous halvings.
In 2012, the inflation was over 25 percent and immediately after the miner reward reduction to 25 BTC per block, it dropped to under 15 percent. A bracket between 7 percent and just under 20 percent sustained until the second halving in July 2016.
The second halving saw a decline in inflation rate to under 5 percent for the first time in the coin’s history, which has been maintained till today. CoinMetrics pegs the inflation, at press time, to be 3.8 percent. Furthermore, if the historic trend continues, the inflation rate would drop by more than 50 percent to 1.8 percent in May 2020.
Based on the current market and using a historical outlook, analysts suggested that 2019 will be the year of building the industry while the price effect will manifest next year, with the halving being at the very core. Many believe that institutional interest on the rise and the growing crypto-adoption surge could result in a bullish 2020.
Charlie Lee, BTCC’s co-founder suggested in December 2018 that Bitcoin’s next rally will begin in “late 2020”, months after the halving and would peak in December 2021 at 333,000. However, the precursor to this rise would be a January 2019 bottom of $2,500 which did not materialize.
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