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TRUMP price prediction – After the 75% surge, is $16 coming next?

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Before the dinner party invite announcement, the demand for Official Trump had been weak, with the OBV in a downtrend.

TRUMP's 75% price surge - What triggered it, and is $16 next?

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  • The $14.6 and $16 resistance levels rebuffed the TRUMP bulls’ advance recently.
  • The May 22nd dinner invite news meant TRUMP could see sustained demand over the next couple of weeks.

Official Trump [TRUMP] soared 75.2% on the 23rd of April, after the announcement that the top holders of the memecoin will have a private dinner with President Donald Trump.

Labeled “the most EXCLUSIVE INVITATION in the world”, it promised the top 220 holders a private gala dinner with President Trump. Furthermore, the top 25 would get “an ultra-exclusive private VIP reception with the President”, the announcement said.

Previously, TRUMP had a bearish market structure and was down 80% from the $46.5 daily open on the 20th of January. The ongoing pump meant TRUMP was only 71% down compared to the inauguration day prices.

TRUMP breaks bearish market structure, but faces rejection at…

TRUMP 1-day Chart

Source: TRUMP/USDT on TradingView

Based on the move downward in March from $17.75 to $9.54, a set of Fibonacci retracement levels was plotted.

Instead of bouncing to the 50% level at $13.65, the price reached the 23.6% extension level at $7.6, forming a double bottom—only evident in hindsight.

Before the dinner party invite announcement, demand for the memcoin was weak, with the OBV showing a downtrend from the 25th of March to the 22nd of April.

However, over the past 36 hours, high trading volume pushed the OBV to a new high, surpassing its March levels.

The structure of TRUMP remains bullish, as both the $8.7 and $12.2 lower highs have been breached. Still, the 61.8% and 78.6% retracement levels at $14.6 and $16 have acted as strong resistance.

Bulls are expected to defend the $12.2, $10.7, and psychological $10 support levels to maintain momentum.

 

TRUMP Open Interest

Source: Coinglass

The Open Interest (OI) shot higher alongside the demand on the back of the dinner invite announcement. On Binance, the OI climbed from $97 million on the 21st of April to $207.9 million on the 24th of April.

The increased speculative interest pointed to firm short-term bullish sentiment.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion

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Akashnath Sumukar works as a Senior Journalist at AMBCrypto. Based in Chennai, India, he has been an avid follower of the cryptocurrency market since Bitcoin’s boom and bust cycle of 2017. A graduate in Chemical Engineering, he is an expert in technical analysis. In fact, Akashnath has a particular interest in reading price charts and predicting how an asset will move over the short and long term. A self-taught trader and as someone who holds cryptos himself, he is always on the lookout for the next opportunity he can possibly capitalize on, while also educating his audience.
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