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Uniswap drops to historic $3 support — Assessing if UNI can hold it

2min Read

Uniswap could be presenting an opportunity to go long as price approaches key support level that has resulted in bullish reversals.

Uniswap approaching key weekly support — Will the $3 level hold?
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  • Uniswap was approaching a weekly level that has been holding its price action since December 2020.
  • The potential reaction from the zone has been backed by the accumulation of Smart Dex traders who have started buying UNI.

The price action of Uniswap [UNI] was approaching a key weekly support level at $3, as of press time. This key support level has held price since December 2020 protecting against a drop below.

UNI has consistently shown a bullish reaction whenever it reaches this price level. Notable examples include recoveries in mid-2022, mid to late 2023, and Q4 of 2024, each occurring after touching this level.

Currently, the MACD indicator signals a bearish trend, with the MACD line at -0.596, the signal line at -0.503, and the histogram at -0.093. Since the MACD line is below the signal line, this suggests the possibility of a further decline, potentially toward the $3 level.

UNI

Source: TradingView

If the price reaches the $3 support level and rises while the histogram narrows, this could signal potential bullish convergence. A double-bottom pattern at $3 in late 2024 previously triggered an upward breakout, leading to a bullish trend.

As long as the $3 support remains intact, a move higher can be anticipated based on past reactions at this level. However, a break below $3 would invalidate the support and indicate a shift toward a bearish trend.

Smart Dex traders accumulating UNI

Looking at smart money accumulation for top tokens on Ethereum recently showed UNI registered a buy volume of $64.9K and no sell volume, reflecting a net volume of $64.9K.

The average buy price is $6.5 with the cumulative volume hitting $66.3K. This modest but consistent accumulation by astute money, as Uniswap moves towards a potential bullish reversal point at $3 suggested initial buy interests.

UNI

Source: iCryptoAI

The absence of selling volume indicates market confidence and could signal a potential reversal. Other tokens, such as WLD, have also shown signs of accumulation, reflecting overall market optimism.

If this trend continues, UNI may gain upward momentum; however, a lack of consistent buying activity could delay the reversal.

Additionally, ownership data for UNI highlights distinct patterns. Whales lead with a +2.15% 30-day change, indicating accumulation. Meanwhile, investors show a -4.06% change, reflecting profit-taking and retail ownership has increased by +1.71%, showing moderate accumulation.

UNI

Source: IntoTheBlock

Whale accumulation is a sign of bullish pressure, which can drive UNI prices higher if sustained. Conversely, investor selling could cap gains, risking a drop below $3.

The dynamic shift in ownership, especially whale interest, could significantly influence UNI’s reversal trajectory.

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Lennox Gitonga is a Financial Market and On-Chain Analyst at AMBCrypto, bringing the rigor of traditional financial analysis to the digital asset space. With a Bachelor of Commerce in Finance, he possesses a strong academic foundation in market principles and investment analysis. His expertise is sharpened by hands-on experience as a professional equities trader and financial analyst, where he honed his skills in analyzing complex market structures. Since transitioning his focus to cryptocurrency in 2019, Lennox has applied this disciplined approach to the blockchain sector. He specializes in providing in-depth analysis on both a technical and on-chain level, interpreting everything from price action and chart patterns to network health and transactional data. At AMBCrypto, Lennox is dedicated to translating this multifaceted data into clear, actionable insights. His work empowers readers by making sophisticated market analysis accessible, helping them understand the key drivers behind cryptocurrency valuations and trends.
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