Analysis

Will DOT’s retest of the $5.23 level yield a different result?

The $5.55 level has served as a major obstacle for DOT bulls and the price was rejected at the level again, leaving the door open for sellers.

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Source: Midjourney

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

  • Polkadot bulls can’t get past the $5.55 obstacle.
  • Speculators look to ride the selling wave with shorts holding a 51.95% advantage.

Despite flipping the $5.23 level from resistance to support, Polkadot [DOT] buyers experienced a pushback at the $5.55 resistance. This resistance level has proved a tough one to crack in the past month and once again stood in the way of the bullish advancement.


Realistic or not, here’s DOT’s market cap in BTC

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With the market going through a price lull and Bitcoin [BTC] dipping under $31k, the furtherance of DOT’s bullish charge will depend heavily on the $5.23 support holding.

Is another sideways price action on the way for DOT?

Source: DOT/USDT on Trading View

A look southward showed range activity for Polkadot the last time price was stuck between the support and resistance levels of $5.23 and $5.55 respectively. On the previous occasion, bears prevailed after a month-long tussle to take the price to the December 2022 low of $4.24.

However, the scenario could be different this time if the $5.23 support holds. This could give bulls an advantage for a breakout if DOT ranges again between the critical support and resistance levels.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) posted a bearish crossover on 30 June before another price rally reversed it. A break and session close below the $5.23 support on the 12-hour timeframe would lead to a full bearish crossover.

The recent price rejection at $5.55 also saw the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dip sharply from 67 to 54, highlighting the waning buying pressure. With Bitcoin dipping slightly and altcoins following, this could be a bearish sign for DOT.

Speculators leaned toward bearish DOT

Source: Coinglass

The 24-hour exchange long/short ratio data from Coinglass revealed market speculators actively looking for shorting gains. The $10 million difference between longs and shorts highlighted the 51.95% advantage held by sellers.

With the market wrecking millions of long positions over the past day, DOT was not left out. $214.89k worth of long positions were liquidated over a 12-hour period compared to just $12.20k shorts.


Read Polkadot’s [DOT] Price Prediction 2023-24


However, it is not all doom and gloom for bulls. While the on-chart price action hinted at shorting opportunities, traders should be cautious of a bullish Bitcoin, as this could reverse the dip for DOT.

Source: Coinglass