Will XRP’s price drop below $0.60? Here’s what KEY metrics suggest
Rising speculative leverage and falling buying pressure will likely hasten the short-term bearish XRP momentum.
Ripple [XRP] was hanging on to the $1 psychological level by a thread. Over the past ten days, XRP prices have fallen by 6.67%, from $1.074 to $1.002, and further downside appeared likely.
CEO and Founder of crypto intelligence platform Alphractal, Joao Wedson, wrote in a post on X that he “wouldn’t be surprised to see XRP trade below $0.60.” Historically, the average cost basis has been a price level that has been approached during market bottoms.
A long period of consolidation, followed by a bullish breakout, has been the norm in recent cycles and could occur again.
Polymarket has assigned a 65% chance that XRP prices will slide below $1. Rising leverage and weak buying pressure worsened the risk of a bearish price reaction, AMBCrypto reported.
The taker buy/sell ratio measures the aggressive (market order) buying and selling volume. Since it is the taker orders that move market prices, sustained taker sell domination tends to accompany downtrends in price.
The ratio was at 0.8 at the time of writing, and the 7-day average was at 0.9. Moreover, figures below 1 represent aggressive seller dominance.
It must be noted that, even during strong XRP rallies, the taker buy/sell ratio has sometimes been below 1. The falling Taker Buy/Sell volume, alongside the rising Open Interest behind XRP, meant the market was in a distribution phase and dominated by sellers.
Too early to declare an XRP market bottom
The three-month average of XRP whale inflows to Binance reached its lowest level since 2021, observed crypto analyst Darkfost. The average inflows were only $61 million now, compared to $456 million in January 2025, and $355 million in October 2025.
The analyst also noted that net flows remained positive at +$18.8 million, meaning inflows to centralized exchanges were dominant.
The receding whale inflows were a positive sign for the XRP market, but it is not a decisive signal that the market bottom is at hand. The push below $1 could yet see XRP prices slide below $0.60, closer to the average price before the next recovery can commence.
Final Summary
- The odds of an XRP price drop below $1 were rising as the altcoin saw rising speculative leverage and falling buying pressure.
- The 3-month average of whale inflows to Binance has reached its lowest level since 2021.
