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XRP faces key SEC deadline – Will prices break $2.38 or fall below…

2min Read

XRP remains rangebound with traders maintaining positions despite low volume.

XRP

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  • XRP traded sideways as investors await a key SEC court update.
  • Futures Open Interest stayed high; traders were positioned despite low volume and muted momentum.

Ripple [XRP] is treading water as the community braces for the next twist in Ripple Labs’ legal clash with the U.S. SEC.

With a critical court deadline fast approaching, investor sentiment remains cautious, caught between regulatory clarity and potential further delays.

As the case nears another inflection point, XRP’s muted price action says a lot about the market’s wait-and-watch mode.

Volume drops, but OI holds firm

XRP’s spot volume has cooled significantly from its December highs, hovering at $5.09 billion at press time – a contrast to the $70B+ spikes seen during previous surges.

XRP

Source: CoinGlass

Yet, Futures Open Interest remains elevated at $4.14 billion, so traders aren’t backing down.

XRP

Source: Coinglass

This is a market quietly bracing for volatility, likely tied to the impending SEC litigation.

While price remains range-bound, the steady leverage exposure implies conviction, either for a breakout or a breakdown.

In short, sentiment is split, but positioning is anything but flat.

All eyes on the SEC

With a court-imposed deadline looming, the SEC is expected to update the Court of Appeals on its settlement talks with Ripple by the 16th of June, a potential turning point in the multi-year legal standoff.

Since Judge Analisa Torres denied the agency’s bid for an indicative ruling, progress has stalled.

Yet, the SEC’s pattern of last-minute filings keeps markets on edge. A withdrawal of the appeal could dramatically boost XRP’s regulatory standing and revive ETF hopes.

Polymarket odds reflect that optimism, pricing in an 88% chance of ETF approval by year-end.

XRP

Source: Polymarket

XRP tests mid-band as momentum stalls

XRP hovered near the midline of its Bollinger Bands, showing signs of consolidation after failing to break above the upper band resistance.

The price at press time – $2.25 – suggested a weakening bullish momentum, with the RSI at a neutral 49.23: neither oversold nor overbought.

XRP

Source: TradingView

Volume remained subdued at 16.05 million, reinforcing the market’s indecisiveness ahead of the SEC update.

If buyers regain control and push past $2.38, a retest of $2.60 becomes likely. Conversely, a drop below $2.10 could trigger further downside.

For now, XRP is trading cautiously.

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Samyukhtha L KM is a journalist with a keen eye on the ever-changing digital asset landscape - and a soft spot for memecoins. With a Bachelors in Commerce and a Masters in Journalism and Mass Communication, she’s always curious about whether the next big thing in blockchain is hype or history in the making. When she’s not tracking the latest market moves, she’s reflecting on what blockchain adoption really means in a world still largely rooted in traditional finance.
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