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XRP/USD Technical Analysis: Bear still seems to have strong hold on the coin

Namrata Shukla

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Source: Pixabay

The cryptocurrency market may not be surging, but is not plunging much either. However, at the time of press, the second largest coin XRP is trying to maintain a foot on the green pastures.

The coin was valued at $0.3181 with a market cap of $13 billion. The coin reported a 24-hour trade volume of $422 million with a growth of 0.56% in the past day. The coin has plunged in the past seven days by 3.39% but is on the path to recovery as it notes a growth by 0.06% in the past hour.

1-hour

Source: Trading View

Source: Trading View

The one hour chart of XRP indicates an uptrend from $0.3344 to $0.3394, which further turns to a downtrend that starts from $0.3394 to $0.3256. The coin marks an uptrend from $0.3185 to $0.3227. The coin marked resistance at $0.3256 and marked strong support at $0.3185.

Bollinger Bands appears to be at a point of convergence, slowly decreasing the market volatility. The moving average line is over the candlesticks, marking a bearish market.

Awesome Oscillator indicates a bearish market losing momentum.

Chaikin Money Flow, on the other hand, marks a bullish trend as the marker is above zero.

1-day

Source: Trading view

Source: Trading view

Considering the one day chart of the coin, an uptrend is visible from $0.2684 to $0.4831 but is followed by a downtrend from $0.3826 to $0.2906. Whereas a second downtrend is observed from $0.5158 to $0.3754. The resistance is marked at $0.4141 and support is marked at $0.2906.

Parabolic SAR makers a bearish market, as the markers have aligned above the candles.

MACD line is under the signal line, pointing towards a bearish market.

Relative Strength Index indicates that the buying and the selling pressure are evening each other out.



Conclusion 

As per the indicators, Bollinger Bands and Chaikin Money Flow, a bullish market is predicted. However, going by the majority of indicators like Awesome Oscillators, Parabolic SAR, and MACD, a bearish trend may continue.





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Bitcoin [BTC] Halving: CoinMetrics pegs top-crypto to rise above $20,000 peak in late-2021

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Bitcoin Halving: CoinMetrics pegs top-crypto to rise above $20,000 peak in late-2021
Source: Pixabay

With a year left for the highly anticipated Bitcoin [BTC] halving, many expect the price of the top-cryptocurrency to surge prior to May 2020. Analysts have previously opined that three months to one year before the halving does the price of the cryptocurrency move up.

A new piece of research from the cryptocurrency analytics firm, CoinMetrics, suggested that in addition to the precursor pump, Bitcoin [BTC] will reach its “local peak” 18 months after the halving.

 

CoinMetrics charts the price of the top coin, divided based on the 2012 and 2016 halving, showing a noticeable trend. A little more than a year after the first halving when the 210,001 block was mined, the price of Bitcoin surged above $1,000 for the first time, in December 2013 to be precise.

Next, During the July 2016 halving, the coin was trading at just above $600 and within the suggested period of 18 months, the top virtual currency saw its second peak. On 17 December, the coin reached a never-before-seen high of over $19,700 as the Chicago Futures exchanges embraced the digital assets market.

With the price of Bitcoin over $5,000 for the first time in over four months, and the precursor halving bulls on the horizon, the price could surge. Furthermore, based on CoinMetrics’ inference, Bitcoin will see its third peak, higher than $20,000, by the close of 2021, eighteen months after the May 2020 halving.

The halving protocol was placed in the original whitepaper to thwart inflationary pressure that would arise with more blocks mined and more Bitcoins supplied. Historical charts prove that this objective has been adhered to, with a constant drop in the inflation rate with the two previous halvings.

In 2012, the inflation was over 25 percent and immediately after the miner reward reduction to 25 BTC per block, it dropped to under 15 percent. A bracket between 7 percent and just under 20 percent sustained until the second halving in July 2016.

The second halving saw a decline in inflation rate to under 5 percent for the first time in the coin’s history, which has been maintained till today. CoinMetrics pegs the inflation, at press time, to be 3.8 percent. Furthermore, if the historic trend continues, the inflation rate would drop by more than 50 percent to 1.8 percent in May 2020.



Based on the current market and using a historical outlook, analysts suggested that 2019 will be the year of building the industry while the price effect will manifest next year, with the halving being at the very core. Many believe that institutional interest on the rise and the growing crypto-adoption surge could result in a bullish 2020.

Charlie Lee, BTCC’s co-founder suggested in December 2018 that Bitcoin’s next rally will begin in “late 2020”, months after the halving and would peak in December 2021 at 333,000. However, the precursor to this rise would be a January 2019 bottom of $2,500 which did not materialize.





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