The cryptocurrency market’s wayward motion has been ongoing for a long time now with several proponents of the space still claiming that the field will recover. After last week’s surprise bull run, the cryptocurrencies have fallen back into its routine sideways movement punctuated with bullish spikes and bearish drops. Bitcoin [BTC], XRP and Ethereum [ETH], the top-three cryptocurrencies have not been averse to this bear attack as the big three are struggling to cope with the price hits too.
The one-hour graph for XRP shows a sudden bullish spike of last week that has lifted the coin’s immediate support. The uptrend lifted the price from $0.29 to $0.31. The support has been holding at $0.292 while the resistance is at $0.323.
The Bollinger band shows the upper band and the lower band moving in a parallel fashion, a sign of the sideways movement of the market. The lack of convergence or divergence is also signified by both the bands.
The Chaikin Money Flow indicator has spiked way above the zero-line after a bull run. The hold above the line indicates that the capital coming into the market is much more than the capital leaving the market.
XRP’s one-day graph clearly shows the prominence of the bear with the sideways movement being apparent. The long-term support has been holding at $0.25 while the downtrend lowered the price from $0.51 to $0.31.
The Relative Strength Index puts XRP square in the middle of the graph. The equilibrium hold points to the fact that the buying pressure and the selling pressure are almost equal.
The Awesome Oscillator does not tell a good story for XRP as the graph shows a clear lull now. The reduced magnitude of the graph goes hand-in-hand with the reduced market momentum for XRP.
The above-mentioned indicators, except the CMF indicator, all state that the bear will reign supreme while the bull runs were short-lived. The Bollinger bands, the AO and the RSI support this claim as all three of them vote for the bear. Users and fans of the cryptocurrency can take joy in the fact that the market can still provide with significant bull runs.
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Bitcoin [BTC] Halving: CoinMetrics pegs top-crypto to rise above $20,000 peak in late-2021
With a year left for the highly anticipated Bitcoin [BTC] halving, many expect the price of the top-cryptocurrency to surge prior to May 2020. Analysts have previously opined that three months to one year before the halving does the price of the cryptocurrency move up.
A new piece of research from the cryptocurrency analytics firm, CoinMetrics, suggested that in addition to the precursor pump, Bitcoin [BTC] will reach its “local peak” 18 months after the halving.
CoinMetrics charts the price of the top coin, divided based on the 2012 and 2016 halving, showing a noticeable trend. A little more than a year after the first halving when the 210,001 block was mined, the price of Bitcoin surged above $1,000 for the first time, in December 2013 to be precise.
Next, During the July 2016 halving, the coin was trading at just above $600 and within the suggested period of 18 months, the top virtual currency saw its second peak. On 17 December, the coin reached a never-before-seen high of over $19,700 as the Chicago Futures exchanges embraced the digital assets market.
With the price of Bitcoin over $5,000 for the first time in over four months, and the precursor halving bulls on the horizon, the price could surge. Furthermore, based on CoinMetrics’ inference, Bitcoin will see its third peak, higher than $20,000, by the close of 2021, eighteen months after the May 2020 halving.
The halving protocol was placed in the original whitepaper to thwart inflationary pressure that would arise with more blocks mined and more Bitcoins supplied. Historical charts prove that this objective has been adhered to, with a constant drop in the inflation rate with the two previous halvings.
In 2012, the inflation was over 25 percent and immediately after the miner reward reduction to 25 BTC per block, it dropped to under 15 percent. A bracket between 7 percent and just under 20 percent sustained until the second halving in July 2016.
The second halving saw a decline in inflation rate to under 5 percent for the first time in the coin’s history, which has been maintained till today. CoinMetrics pegs the inflation, at press time, to be 3.8 percent. Furthermore, if the historic trend continues, the inflation rate would drop by more than 50 percent to 1.8 percent in May 2020.
Based on the current market and using a historical outlook, analysts suggested that 2019 will be the year of building the industry while the price effect will manifest next year, with the halving being at the very core. Many believe that institutional interest on the rise and the growing crypto-adoption surge could result in a bullish 2020.
Charlie Lee, BTCC’s co-founder suggested in December 2018 that Bitcoin’s next rally will begin in “late 2020”, months after the halving and would peak in December 2021 at 333,000. However, the precursor to this rise would be a January 2019 bottom of $2,500 which did not materialize.
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